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Warren County, TN
Cattle prices near Warren County, Tennessee. The closest sale barn with a recent report is McMinnville TN in McMinnville, TN, about 1 miles away. On Oct 28, 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) averaged $391.15 per hundredweight on 87 head (USDA). Check a bid against your own costs with Ring Price.
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Warren County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Nov 10 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Warren County, TN was in extreme drought (D3); week 7 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Rain has run 52% of normal over the last 30 days (below normal) and 51% over 90 days; no day in the 7-day forecast tops a 5% rain chance and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 20–24 leans toward near-normal rain. Warren County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 3 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is McMinnville TN, 1 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 52% of normal
- Last 60 days 60% of normal
- Last 90 days 51% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 15, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 20–24) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 22–28) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 14, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Sunny, high 56°, low 26°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Monday Widespread Frost then Sunny, high 62°, low 29°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Tuesday Widespread Frost then Sunny, high 63°, low 28°, 0% rain, wind 0 mph
- Wednesday Areas Of Fog then Sunny, high 66°, low 33°, 0% rain, wind 0 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 35°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 70°, low 37°, 0% rain, wind 0 mph
- Saturday Sunny, high 71°, low 44°, 5% rain, wind 0–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 15, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Warren County is Dec 1, 2026, 16 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Warren County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Warren County grew about 3,070 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 107% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 2,881 pounds per acre. That was the 13th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2004 at 3,505 pounds per acre; worst: 1987 at 965.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Extreme drought (D3) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 27, 2026 | Nov 26, 2026 (11 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Text YES CLOCK for a reminder on day 21 and day 28.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Warren County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
Prices
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| McMinnville TN 1 mi | Oct 28 | $391 |
| Carthage TN 41 mi | Nov 14 | $376 |
| Unionville TN 45 mi | Nov 9 | $369 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
Guide: How to read a USDA sale barn report
Price history · Barn map · Fed vs feeder cattle
All weights at the 3 nearest barns
48 more within 200 mi: Crossville TN (46 mi), Fayetteville TN (57 mi), Lafayette TN (60 mi), Athens TN (68 mi), Columbia TN (71 mi), Sweetwater TN (73 mi), Pulaski TN (78 mi), Albany KY (79 mi), Glasgow KY (92 mi), Dickson TN (93 mi), Calhoun GA (94 mi), Bowling Green KY (United) (97 mi), Bowling Green KY (Cattleman) (97 mi), Kilpatrick AL (99 mi), Arab AL (102 mi), Guthrie KY (102 mi), Russell Springs KY (102 mi), Knoxville TN (104 mi), Campbellsville KY (117 mi), Somerset KY (117 mi), Moulton AL (118 mi), Cullman AL (120 mi), Florence AL (121 mi), Upton KY (123 mi), Hopkinsville KY (124 mi), Ashville AL (130 mi), Russellville AL (137 mi), Savannah TN (142 mi), Stanford KY (142 mi), Springfield KY (143 mi), Harned KY (148 mi), Huntingdon TN (150 mi), Carrollton GA (150 mi), Owensboro KY (162 mi), Lineville AL (163 mi), Eastanollee GA (163 mi), Richmond KY (164 mi), Canton NC (166 mi), Greeneville TN (169 mi), Carnesville GA (170 mi), Roanoke AL (177 mi), Lexington KY (178 mi), Ledbetter KY (179 mi), Trenton TN (179 mi), Athens GA (181 mi), Mt. Sterling KY (193 mi), Paris KY (193 mi), Jackson GA (194 mi).
Drought
Drought, past 12 months
100% of the county in severe drought or worse, 7 weeks running.
How to read this
Each band is how much of the county was in that drought level that week. Darker = worse. D2 (severe) and darker can trigger USDA drought pay.
Right now: 100% of the county is in severe drought or worse; some of it has been for 7 weeks running. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Nov 10, 2026.
Programs
Drought pasture pay (LFP)
On FSA's 2026 list for 4 pasture types. Up to 3 monthly payments.
Bring head counts, grazing leases and pasture acres to your county FSA office.
How to read this
Each bar is a pasture type; the number is how many monthly payments it qualifies for (1 to 5).
Pasture table
| Pasture type | Grazing period | Qualifying date | Payments |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annual Crabgrass | 2026-06-01 to 2026-10-31 | 2026-10-26 | 3 |
| Full Season Improved | 2026-03-15 to 2026-11-30 | 2026-05-11 | 3 |
| Annual Ryegrass | 2025-12-01 to 2026-05-15 | 2026-05-11 | 1 |
| Long Season Small Grains | 2025-12-15 to 2026-05-15 | 2026-05-11 | 1 |
FSA "Counties & Pasture Types Eligible for 2026 LFP", file dated Nov 5, 2026 (download). FSA decides eligibility. Fetched Nov 9, 2026.
USDA disaster declarations
- Jul 28, 2026 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for Warren) · crop year 2026 - May 6, 2026 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for Warren) · crop year 2026 - Mar 25, 2025 · Drought
Warren declared · crop year 2025
"Declared" means USDA named this county. "Neighboring" means it touches a declared county. Either way, FSA emergency loans can open for about 8 months. FSA designation files (dated Jan 28, 2026, Oct 19, 2026). Fetched Nov 9, 2026.
CRP emergency haying and grazing
Open Warren County is on FSA's emergency haying and grazing list, starting Sep 29, 2026. Trigger: D2 (severe) drought on the Drought Monitor. Get an updated conservation plan from FSA before cutting or turning out.
Before haying and grazing, contact your FSA county office to see if your county remains eligible and/or obtain a modified conservation plan. This list is cumulative for the year and current local conditions may have changed.
Source: FSA eligible-county table posted Nov 5, 2026 · map · FSA program page. FSA posts a new file every Thursday. Fetched Nov 9, 2026.
Screwworm (Texas Animal Health Commission)
New FSA programs: watch list
| Date | Scope | Release | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Mississippi | USDA Designates one Tennessee Counties as Natural Disaster Areas | |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Hawaii and Pacific Islands | USDA Extends Application Deadline for Emergency Conservation Program Assistance for Guam and CNMI Counties for Typhoon Bavi Impacts | |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Nebraska | USDA Authorizes Deadline Extension for Emergency Conservation Program in Several Wildfire-Impacted Counties | |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Florida | USDA Designates 9 Alabama Counties as Natural Disaster Areas | |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Alabama | USDA Designates 9 Alabama Counties as Natural Disaster Areas |
Weather & fire
Weather for Warren County
Forecast for the center point of Warren County.
- Freeze on 3 nights
- Today Sunny 56° 26° NNE 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Mon Widespread Frost then Sunny 62° 29° NE 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Tue Widespread Frost then Sunny 63° 28° 0 mph 0% rain
- Wed Areas Of Fog then Sunny 66° 33° 0 mph 0% rain
- Thu Mostly Sunny 69° 35° WSW 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Fri Sunny 70° 37° 0 mph 0% rain
- Sat Sunny 71° 44° S 0–10 mph 5% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 15, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No official ban list to check here, so Cownty shows the National Weather Service fire-weather alerts for the county instead: none right now.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 15, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 15, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Nov 2025 to Oct 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Oct 2026 normal 3.33 in; same month last year 3.13 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Nov 14, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
Nearest current perimeter: Cactus (Wildfire, TN), about 77 mi from the county center; 219 acres, 100% contained, perimeter of Nov 2, 2026.
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 15, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 15, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Warren County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Mc Minnville weather station (0 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 203-day growing season |
Apr 7 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 23 |
Oct 30 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 16 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 227-day growing season |
Mar 27 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 13 |
Nov 7 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 25 |
Smithville 2 Se weather station (18 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 187-day growing season |
Apr 18 1 year in 10 it's after May 2 |
Oct 22 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 10 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 209-day growing season |
Apr 4 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 20 |
Nov 1 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 19 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Mc Minnville, Smithville 2 Se), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Nov 11, 2026.
Money
FSA grain loan rates (2026)
What FSA will lend on stored grain, per bushel. Lets you hold grain instead of selling at harvest.
| Crop | Warren County | National average |
|---|---|---|
| Corn | $2.53 /bu | $2.42 /bu |
| Grain sorghum | $4.54 /cwt ($2.54 /bu) |
$2.42 /bu |
| Soybeans | $6.95 /bu | $6.82 /bu |
| Soft red winter wheat | $3.26 /bu | $3.72 /bu |
County marketing-loan rates. Sorghum's county rate is set per 100 lb; the per-bushel figure uses 56 lb a bushel. Source: FSA 2026 corn/sorghum/soybean schedule, wheat schedule, national rates. Fetched Nov 9, 2026.
FSA farm loan interest rates
| FSA direct loan | Rate |
|---|---|
| Farm Operating - Direct | 5.625% |
| Farm Operating - Microloan | 5.625% |
| Farm Ownership - Direct | 6.250% |
| Farm Ownership - Microloan | 6.250% |
| Farm Ownership - Direct, Joint Financing | 4.250% |
| Farm Ownership - Down Payment | 2.250% |
| Emergency Loan - Amount of Actual Loss | 3.750% |
Set nationally by FSA; the same in every county. Effective Nov 1, 2026. Source: FSA current loan interest rates. Fetched Nov 9, 2026.
Farm program payments by crop (ARC and PLC)
ARC pays when county crop revenue falls below its guarantee. PLC pays when the national price falls below the reference price. You picked one per crop when you enrolled.
PLC, 2026 FSA table of Oct 30, 2026
| Crop | Reference price | Season avg price | PLC payment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wheat /bushel | $6.35 | $6.30 projected | $0.05 projected |
| Barley /bushel | $5.58 | $5.70 projected | $0.00 projected |
| Oats /bushel | $3.05 | $3.35 projected | $0.00 projected |
| Corn /bushel | $4.42 | $4.70 projected | $0.00 projected |
| Grain Sorghum /bushel | $4.67 | $4.50 projected | $0.17 projected |
| Soybeans /bushel | $10.71 | $12.00 projected | $0.00 projected |
PLC rates are national (paid on the farm's PLC yield). Source: FSA 2026 PLC table. FSA decides who is paid.
FSA payments in Warren County
Crop conditions (statewide)
Tennessee crop and pasture condition
Tennessee statewide, not just your county. From USDA's weekly Crop Progress report, week ending Nov 8, 2026.
| Condition | Poor or very poor | Fair | Good or excellent |
|---|
Progress
| Tennessee | This week | Last week | Normal (5-yr avg) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cotton Harvested | 90% | 80% | 75% |
| Corn Harvested | 100% | 100% | 96% |
Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress released Nov 9, 2026 (ESMIS), Tennessee rows. Week ending Nov 8, 2026. Fetched Nov 9, 2026.
Deadlines
-
Nov 20, 2026in 5 daysApply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 moneyNRCS conservation programs
Details and source
NRCS takes applications year-round; apply by this date to be ranked for this fiscal year's funding.Date posted: NRCS Application Cutoff Dates page (Tennessee)Source: USDA NRCS · checked Nov 14, 2026 -
Dec 1, 2026in 16 daysLast day to buy 2027 pasture rain insurance (PRF)Crop insurance (RMA)
-
Mar 1, 2027in 106 daysLivestock Forage Disaster Program (LFP): application and papers for 2026 losses are due by this date.FSA disaster programs · 7 CFR 1416.206(a)
Details and source
Source: USDA FSA · checked Oct 18, 2026 -
Mar 1, 2027in 106 daysEmergency Assistance for Livestock, Honeybees and Farm-raised Fish (ELAP): notice of loss, application and papers for 2026 losses are due by this date.FSA disaster programs · 7 CFR 1416.107
Details and source
Source: USDA FSA · checked Oct 18, 2026 -
Mar 1, 2027in 106 daysLivestock Indemnity Program (LIP): notice of loss, application and papers for 2026 losses are due by this date.FSA disaster programs · 7 CFR 1416.305(b)
Details and source
Source: USDA FSA · checked Oct 18, 2026
All deadlines and report dates · FSA disaster-program deadlines are pending (no official feed).
Guide: PRF insurance and the Dec 1 deadline
Land
Where it is, with barns within 200 mi
Dots are sale barns USDA reports on. Tap one for its latest prices.
Grass grown on rangeland and pasture
Grass grown in 2025: 3,070 lb per acre, a little above normal (107% of the 1991-2020 average of 2,881).
How to read this
Each bar is one year's grass (darker = perennial grasses, lighter = annuals). The dashed line is the 1991-2020 average. A county average with cropland excluded, not your pasture.
How we got this
Satellite estimate of new above-ground growth of grasses and forbs for the year (annual + perennial, lb/acre), averaged over the county's grassland, pasture and shrubland (39% of the county in USDA's 2025 cropland map; farm fields are left out because the estimate isn't valid there, and the same 2025 map is used for every year). About about 120 m (RAP overview). Source: Rangeland Analysis Platform biomass v3 (data, Jones et al. 2021, CC0) and USDA NASS Cropland Data Layer.
Source: Rangeland Analysis Platform, 2025 season. Fetched Nov 13, 2026.
Useful links
Shipping cattle out of Texas
Each state sets its own entry rules for ID, health certificates and screwworm checks. Look up the state you're shipping to before you load.
- InterstateLivestock.com state-by-state entry rules
Source: InterstateLivestock.com (third-party site) · link checked Nov 15, 2026
- APHIS cattle animal disease traceability decision tree (PDF)
Source: USDA APHIS · link checked Nov 15, 2026
Link only. Cownty doesn't copy or check this content; follow the source.
AgriLife events in the High Plains
Texas A&M AgriLife Extension meetings, field days and CEU programs in the Panhandle.
- High Plains events and learning
Source: Texas A&M AgriLife · link checked Nov 15, 2026
Link only. Cownty doesn't copy or check this content; follow the source.
When to pull cattle off wheat
Grazing past first hollow stem cuts grain yield. Oklahoma State's guide explains how to check a field, and its yearly trial reports first-hollow-stem dates by variety.
- Fall forage and first hollow stem dates by wheat variety, 2025–2026
Source: Oklahoma State University Extension · link last confirmed Oct 17, 2026 (site blocks automated checks)
- First hollow stem: a critical wheat growth stage (how to check)
Source: Oklahoma State University Extension · link last confirmed Oct 17, 2026 (site blocks automated checks)
Link only. Cownty doesn't copy or check this content; follow the source.
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Warren County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Warren County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 3 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Warren County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Nov 10, 2026, most of Warren County was in extreme drought (D3), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 57% of the county. 7 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Warren County?
No official statewide list to check: Cownty doesn't read an official statewide burn-ban list for Tennessee; county commissions, sheriffs and fire districts post local fire restrictions, so check your county's own notices.
What sale barns are near Warren County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: McMinnville TN (1 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Carthage TN (41 mi), last report Nov 14, 2026; Unionville TN (45 mi), last report Nov 9, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 20, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.