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Toole County, MT

No sale barn with a published report is within 100 miles of Toole County, Montana. This page still has drought, programs and weather for the county when those are loaded.

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Toole County rain, outlook and forecast

The Nov 10 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Toole County, MT with no drought. The 6-10 day outlook for Nov 20–24 leans toward near-normal rain and Tuesday carries the week's highest rain chance at 74% (high 40°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Toole County with up to 4 monthly payments.

Rain vs normal

Rain totals: not read yet.

Rain outlook

  • 6-10 day outlook (Nov 20–24) Leans toward near-normal rain
  • 8-14 day outlook (Nov 22–28) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)

NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 14, 2026. Source.

Next 7 days

  1. Today Mostly Sunny, high 56°, low 33°, 1% rain, wind 3–13 mph
  2. Monday Mostly Cloudy, high 51°, low 32°, 54% rain, wind 3–6 mph
  3. Tuesday Rain And Snow Likely, high 40°, low 27°, 74% rain, wind 5–10 mph
  4. Wednesday Partly Sunny, high 35°, low 24°, 13% rain, wind 3–9 mph
  5. Thursday Slight Chance Light Snow, high 34°, low 24°, 23% rain, wind 5 mph
  6. Friday Slight Chance Light Snow, high 34°, low 21°, 17% rain, wind 3–5 mph
  7. Saturday Partly Sunny, high 33°, low 21°, 6% rain, wind 5 mph

National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 15, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.

PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026

The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Toole County is Dec 1, 2026, 16 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.

How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool

Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.

Toole County grass production

In 2025, grassland and pasture in Toole County grew about 831 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 112% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 739 pounds per acre. That was the 6th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2013 at 930 pounds per acre; worst: 2001 at 487.

Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.

Open loss windows

No open loss windows in Toole County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.

Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.

Drought-sale tax flag IRS list

Toole County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).

Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.

Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer

Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)

Next 7 days · National Weather Service

Weather for Toole County

Forecast for the center point of Toole County.

  • Freeze on 6 nights
  1. Today Mostly Sunny 56° 33° SSW 3–13 mph 1% rain
  2. Mon Mostly Cloudy 51° 32° WSW 3–6 mph 54% rain
  3. Tue Rain And Snow Likely 40° 27° NNW 5–10 mph 74% rain
  4. Wed Partly Sunny 35° 24° NNW 3–9 mph 13% rain
  5. Thu Slight Chance Light Snow 34° 24° ESE 5 mph 23% rain
  6. Fri Slight Chance Light Snow 34° 21° NNW 3–5 mph 17% rain
  7. Sat Partly Sunny 33° 21° SW 5 mph 6% rain

Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 15, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.

Burn ban

Data pending. Cownty doesn't read an official statewide burn-ban list for Montana; county commissions, sheriffs and fire districts post local fire restrictions, so check your county's own notices

No official ban list to check here, so Cownty shows the National Weather Service fire-weather alerts for the county instead: none right now.

Weather warnings right now

None right now

National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 15, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 15, 2026.

Rainfall vs normal

Oct 2026
1.58 in 193% of normal
Last 12 months
16.14 in 126%
How to read this

Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.

County-average precipitation, Nov 2025 to Oct 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Oct 2026 normal 0.82 in; same month last year 0.84 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Nov 14, 2026.

Wildfires

No current fire perimeter in the county

No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (48 mapped nationally).

See the fire map

Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 15, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 15, 2026.

Frost dates

Frost and freeze dates

30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Toole County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.

Shelby weather station (11 mi away)

Typical last spring frostTypical first fall frost
Frost (32°F)
115-day growing season
May 23
1 year in 10 it's after Jun 6
Sep 16
1 year in 10 it's before Sep 3
Hard freeze (28°F)
138-day growing season
May 10
1 year in 10 it's after May 22
Sep 26
1 year in 10 it's before Sep 13

Dunkirk 19nne weather station (13 mi away)

Typical last spring frostTypical first fall frost
Frost (32°F)
112-day growing season
May 23
1 year in 10 it's after Jun 8
Sep 14
1 year in 10 it's before Sep 1
Hard freeze (28°F)
136-day growing season
May 10
1 year in 10 it's after May 22
Sep 24
1 year in 10 it's before Sep 10

short record Based on only 19 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.

Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Shelby, Dunkirk 19nne), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Nov 11, 2026.

Nearest USDA-reported sale barns

  1. Billings Livestock Commission Billings, MT 247 mi · sells Mondays · latest USDA report Nov 9, 2026
  2. Public Auction Yards Billings, MT 247 mi · sells Wednesdays · latest USDA report Nov 11, 2026
  3. Miles City Livestock Commission Miles City, MT 315 mi · sells Tuesdays · latest USDA report Nov 10, 2026

Miles are straight-line from the county center. Sale days come from the barns' recent USDA AMS reports; call the barn to confirm. All barns

Common questions and nearby counties

Is Toole County eligible for LFP in 2026?

Yes. Toole County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.

Source: FSA LFP county file of Nov 5, 2026

What is the drought level in Toole County this week?

On the Drought Monitor map of Nov 10, 2026, most of Toole County was in no drought, and the worst part was no drought on 0% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.

Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Nov 10, 2026

Is there a burn ban in Toole County?

No official statewide list to check: Cownty doesn't read an official statewide burn-ban list for Montana; county commissions, sheriffs and fire districts post local fire restrictions, so check your county's own notices.

What sale barns are near Toole County?

No USDA-reported sale barn within 200 miles.

Source: USDA AMS Market News reports

What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?

Next: Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance; Nov 20, 2026: Whole Farm Revenue Protection 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.

Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)

Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.