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Ellis County, OK

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CRP emergency haying & grazing: Ellis County is on FSA's list (since Sep 1, 2026). Check with your FSA county office first. Details · FSA list as of Oct 29, 2026.

Ellis County rain, outlook and forecast

Most of Ellis County, OK was in severe drought (D2) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 23% at exceptional drought (D4); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 32 straight weeks. Ellis County has had 128% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 151% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the NWS forecast peaks at a 61% rain chance on today (high 70°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Ellis County (county seat: Arnett) is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 5 monthly payments, and Woodward is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 26 miles.

Rain vs normal

  • Last 30 days 128% of normal
  • Last 60 days 205% of normal
  • Last 90 days 151% of normal

NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.

Rain outlook

  • 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
  • 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain

NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.

Next 7 days

  1. Today Mostly Cloudy, high 70°, low 62°, 61% rain, wind 14–29 mph
  2. Monday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Sunny, high 78°, low 50°, 27% rain, wind 15–28 mph
  3. Tuesday Mostly Sunny, high 64°, low 43°, 6% rain, wind 6–25 mph
  4. Wednesday Sunny, high 68°, low 43°, 15% rain, wind 5–8 mph
  5. Thursday Sunny, high 64°, low 41°, 14% rain, wind 5–12 mph
  6. Friday Sunny, high 67°, low 45°, 6% rain, wind 2–7 mph
  7. Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 67°, low 45°, 29% rain, wind 6–10 mph

National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.

Open loss windows

No open loss windows in Ellis County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.

Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.

Drought-sale tax flag IRS list

Ellis County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).

Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.

Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer

Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)

Drought, past 12 months

73% of the county in severe drought or worse, 32 weeks running.

How to read this

Each band is how much of the county was in that drought level that week. Darker = worse. D2 (severe) and darker can trigger USDA drought pay.

Right now: 73% of the county is in severe drought or worse; some of it has been for 32 weeks running. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026.

See the drought map

Nearest USDA-reported sale barns

  1. Woodward Livestock Auction (feeder cattle) Woodward, OK 26 mi · sells Thursdays · latest USDA report Oct 29, 2026
  2. Beaver Livestock Auction (feeder cattle) Beaver, OK 59 mi · sells Tuesdays · latest USDA report Oct 27, 2026
  3. Winter Livestock Dodge City, KS 106 mi · sells Wednesdays · latest USDA report Oct 28, 2026
  4. OKC West Livestock Market (feeder cattle) El Reno, OK 111 mi · sells Tuesdays · latest USDA report Oct 27, 2026
  5. Winter Livestock (Pratt Livestock) Pratt, KS 115 mi · sells Thursdays · latest USDA report Oct 29, 2026

Miles are straight-line from the county center. Sale days come from the barns' recent USDA AMS reports; call the barn to confirm. All barns

Common questions and nearby counties

Is Ellis County eligible for LFP in 2026?

Yes. Ellis County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.

Source: FSA LFP county file of Oct 29, 2026

What is the drought level in Ellis County this week?

On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Ellis County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was exceptional drought (D4) on 23% of the county. 32 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.

Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026

Is there a burn ban in Ellis County?

No burn ban is listed for Ellis County. Check with the county before burning.

Source: official state burn-ban map, as of Mar 17, 2025

What sale barns are near Ellis County?

The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Woodward (26 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Beaver (59 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Dodge City (106 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.

Source: USDA AMS Market News reports

What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?

Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.

Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)

Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.