Refugio County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Refugio County, TX was in severe drought (D2), with 15% at extreme drought (D3), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 8 weeks running. Refugio County has had 73% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 80% over 90 days; the best rain chance this week is 82% on Tuesday (high 84°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans wetter than normal (40% chance of above-normal rain). Refugio County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Giddings, 129 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 73% of normal
- Last 60 days 106% of normal
- Last 90 days 80% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans wetter than normal (40% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 85°, low 69°, 3% rain, wind 2–6 mph
- Monday Patchy Fog then Partly Sunny, high 85°, low 70°, 3% rain, wind 2–12 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms, high 84°, low 57°, 82% rain, wind 2–8 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 78°, low 55°, 1% rain, wind 1–7 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 80°, low 56°, 15% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 78°, low 55°, 15% rain, wind 1–7 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 76°, low 56°, 33% rain, wind 2–7 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Refugio County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Refugio County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Nov 13, 2026in 12 daysApply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 moneyNRCS conservation programs
Details and source
NRCS takes applications year-round; apply by this date to be ranked for this fiscal year's funding.Date posted: NRCS Application Cutoff Dates page (Texas)Source: USDA NRCS · checked Nov 1, 2026 -
Dec 1, 2026in 30 daysLast day to buy 2027 pasture rain insurance (PRF)Crop insurance (RMA)
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Jan 1, 2027in 61 daysProperty values set for the tax yearTexas property tax · January 1 every year · Tax Code Sec. 23.01(a)
Details and source
What the law says
Date that taxable values (except for inventories appraised Sept. 1) and qualification for certain exemptions are determined for the tax year (Secs. 11.42(a), 23.01(a), 23.12(f)).Source: Texas Comptroller · checked Nov 1, 2026 -
Feb 1, 2027in 92 daysLast year's property taxes become delinquent if not paidTexas property tax · February 1 every year · Tax Code Sec. 31.02(a)
Details and source
What the law says
Date that taxes imposed the previous year become delinquent if a bill was mailed on or before Jan. 10 of the current year (Secs. 31.02(a), 31.04(a)).Source: Texas Comptroller · checked Nov 1, 2026 -
Mar 1, 2027in 120 daysLivestock Forage Disaster Program (LFP): application and papers for 2026 losses are due by this date.FSA disaster programs · 7 CFR 1416.206(a)
Details and source
Source: USDA FSA · checked Oct 18, 2026
All deadlines and report dates · FSA disaster-program deadlines are pending (no official feed).
Coming up: EQIP and CSP FY2027 first ranking cutoff (12 days left) · PRF rainfall insurance for 2027 (30 days left) · ARC/PLC 2026 election and enrollment (40 days left) · LFP, LIP and ELAP for 2026 losses (120 days left)
Guide: PRF insurance and the Dec 1 deadline
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Refugio County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Refugio County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Refugio County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Refugio County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 15% of the county. 8 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Refugio County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Refugio County (since Sep 8, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Refugio County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (129 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.