San Patricio County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of San Patricio County, TX was in severe drought (D2), with 30% at extreme drought (D3); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 9 straight weeks. San Patricio County has had 113% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 55% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain) and Tuesday carries the week's highest rain chance at 63% (high 84°). San Patricio County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 154 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 113% of normal
- Last 60 days 72% of normal
- Last 90 days 55% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 84°, low 68°, 1% rain, wind 2–7 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 85°, low 72°, 8% rain, wind 3–14 mph
- Tuesday Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 84°, low 60°, 63% rain, wind 5–8 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 78°, low 59°, 0% rain, wind 1–7 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 81°, low 61°, 22% rain, wind 2–7 mph
- Friday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 78°, low 59°, 15% rain, wind 3–9 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 76°, low 59°, 37% rain, wind 3–9 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in San Patricio County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
San Patricio County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Giddings 154 mi | Oct 26 | $359 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
Guide: How to read a USDA sale barn report
All weights at the 1 nearest barns
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is San Patricio County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. San Patricio County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in San Patricio County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of San Patricio County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 30% of the county. 9 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in San Patricio County?
No burn ban is listed for San Patricio County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near San Patricio County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (154 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.