Randall County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Randall County, TX was abnormally dry (D0), with 20% at moderate drought (D1); four weeks earlier 100% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 20%. Rain has run 98% of normal over the last 30 days (near normal) and 211% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; no day in the 7-day forecast tops a 9% rain chance and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 8–12 leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain). Randall County (county seat: Canyon) is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 5 monthly payments, and Wildorado is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 20 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 98% of normal
- Last 60 days 323% of normal
- Last 90 days 211% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 8–12) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 10–16) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Sunny, high 71°, low 46°, 3% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 59°, low 41°, 1% rain, wind 0–20 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 66°, low 45°, 0% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 59°, low 38°, 2% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 60°, low 41°, 5% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 60°, low 40°, 9% rain, wind 5 mph
- Sunday Sunny, high 59°, low 40°, 3% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Randall County is Dec 1, 2026, 29 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Randall County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Randall County grew about 1,538 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 101% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 1,528 pounds per acre. That was the 17th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2015 at 2,341 pounds per acre; worst: 2011 at 634.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Randall County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Randall County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Randall County
Forecast for the center point of Randall County.
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Sunny 71° 46° WSW 15–25 mph 3% rain
- Tue Sunny 59° 41° NNW 0–20 mph 1% rain
- Wed Sunny 66° 45° SSW 5–15 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 59° 38° NNW 0–15 mph 2% rain
- Fri Sunny 60° 41° SW 0–5 mph 5% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 60° 40° NW 5 mph 9% rain
- Sun Sunny 59° 40° WNW 5–10 mph 3% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Feb 20, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 2, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 2, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.83 in; same month last year 1.49 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (75 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 2, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Randall County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Canyon weather station (2 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 192-day growing season |
Apr 15 1 year in 10 it's after May 1 |
Oct 25 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 12 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 214-day growing season |
Apr 3 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 21 |
Nov 3 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 22 |
Amarillo weather station (22 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 195-day growing season |
Apr 13 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 29 |
Oct 27 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 14 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 216-day growing season |
Apr 2 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 19 |
Nov 5 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 22 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Canyon, Amarillo), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Printable county brief (PDF) · Everything on one page · Hay prices in Texas · County seat: Canyon
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Randall County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Randall County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Randall County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Randall County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 20% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Randall County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Randall County (since Feb 20, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Randall County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Wildorado (20 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Tulia (31 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Dalhart (83 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.