Deaf Smith County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Deaf Smith County, TX showed no drought on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, though 32% at abnormally dry (D0); four weeks earlier 100% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 0%. Rain has run 100% of normal over the last 30 days (near normal) and 145% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the NWS forecast peaks at a 71% rain chance on today (high 69°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Deaf Smith County (county seat: Hereford) is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 5 monthly payments, and Wildorado is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 33 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 100% of normal
- Last 60 days 244% of normal
- Last 90 days 145% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 69°, low 57°, 71% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 67°, low 45°, 6% rain, wind 10–30 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 63°, low 41°, 0% rain, wind 5–20 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 67°, low 43°, 4% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 61°, low 38°, 1% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 62°, low 41°, 11% rain, wind 5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 63°, low 41°, 17% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Deaf Smith County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Deaf Smith County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Wildorado 33 mi | Oct 27 | $409 |
| Clovis 51 mi | Oct 28 | $394 |
| Tulia 55 mi | Oct 29 | $386 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
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Printable county brief (PDF) · Everything on one page · Hay prices in Texas · County seat: Hereford
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Deaf Smith County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Deaf Smith County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Deaf Smith County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Deaf Smith County was in no drought, and the worst part was abnormally dry (D0) on 32% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Deaf Smith County?
No burn ban is listed for Deaf Smith County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Deaf Smith County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Wildorado (33 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Clovis (51 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Tulia (55 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.