Payne County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Payne County, OK in moderate drought (D1), with 34% at severe drought (D2); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 35 straight weeks. Over 90 days rain is at 104% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 158% (well above normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the NWS forecast peaks at a 84% rain chance on Monday (high 79°). Payne County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Tulsa is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 60 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 158% of normal
- Last 60 days 114% of normal
- Last 90 days 104% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 75°, low 61°, 5% rain, wind 3–14 mph
- Monday Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 79°, low 56°, 84% rain, wind 7–22 mph
- Tuesday Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 46°, 5% rain, wind 3–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 69°, low 43°, 4% rain, wind 2–7 mph
- Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 44°, 23% rain, wind 2–6 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 69°, low 45°, 5% rain, wind 2–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 71°, low 46°, 26% rain, wind 2–7 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Payne County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Payne County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Payne County
Forecast for the center point of Payne County.
- Today Partly Sunny 75° 61° SSE 3–14 mph 5% rain
- Mon Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 79° 56° S 7–22 mph 84% rain
- Tue Mostly Sunny 69° 46° WNW 3–15 mph 5% rain
- Wed Sunny 69° 43° NW 2–7 mph 4% rain
- Thu Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 69° 44° NNW 2–6 mph 23% rain
- Fri Sunny 69° 45° N 2–5 mph 5% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 71° 46° W 2–7 mph 26% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Oklahoma Forestry Services burn-ban map, which carries county commissioners' bans and the Governor's burn-ban proclamations (source, rules). County row as of Aug 20, 2026. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.54 in; same month last year 0.79 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
Nearest current perimeter: RX BUFFALO WOMAN (Prescribed fire, OK), about 88 mi from the county center; 40 acres, containment not reported, perimeter of Oct 28, 2026.
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Payne County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Stillwater Rgnl Ap weather station (9 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 209-day growing season |
Apr 3 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 21 |
Oct 31 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 15 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 230-day growing season |
Mar 23 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 8 |
Nov 8 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 24 |
Stillwater 2 W weather station (7 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 206-day growing season |
Apr 5 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 21 |
Oct 30 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 16 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 227-day growing season |
Mar 27 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 10 |
Nov 9 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 24 |
short record Based on only 19 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Stillwater Rgnl Ap, Stillwater 2 W), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Payne County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Payne County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Payne County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Payne County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 34% of the county. 35 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Payne County?
No burn ban is listed for Payne County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Payne County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulsa (60 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; El Reno (67 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Ada (92 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.