Noble County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Noble County, OK was in moderate drought (D1), with 39% at severe drought (D2), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 13 weeks running. Over 90 days rain is at 87% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 98% (near normal); the best rain chance this week is 70% on Monday (high 79°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Noble County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is El Reno, 71 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 98% of normal
- Last 60 days 109% of normal
- Last 90 days 87% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 74°, low 62°, 5% rain, wind 6–21 mph
- Monday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 79°, low 55°, 70% rain, wind 9–25 mph
- Tuesday Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 46°, 6% rain, wind 6–17 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 69°, low 43°, 5% rain, wind 5–9 mph
- Thursday Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 43°, 30% rain, wind 3–8 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 69°, low 45°, 6% rain, wind 3–7 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 72°, low 46°, 25% rain, wind 1–9 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Noble County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Noble County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| OKC 67 mi | Oct 26 | $404 |
| El Reno 71 mi | Oct 27 | $413 |
| Tulsa 76 mi | Oct 26 | $413 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
Guide: How to read a USDA sale barn report
All weights at the 3 nearest barns
10 more within 200 mi: Ada (116 mi), Pratt (118 mi), Woodward (119 mi), Apache (121 mi), McAlester (130 mi), Siloam Springs (151 mi), Salina (169 mi), Dodge City (179 mi), Exeter (184 mi), Beaver (185 mi).
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Noble County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Noble County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Noble County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Noble County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 39% of the county. 13 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Noble County?
No burn ban is listed for Noble County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Noble County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: El Reno (71 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Tulsa (76 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; Ada (116 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.