Payne County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Payne County, OK in moderate drought (D1), with 34% at severe drought (D2); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 35 straight weeks. Over 90 days rain is at 104% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 158% (well above normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the NWS forecast peaks at a 84% rain chance on Monday (high 79°). Payne County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Tulsa is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 60 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 158% of normal
- Last 60 days 114% of normal
- Last 90 days 104% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 75°, low 61°, 5% rain, wind 3–14 mph
- Monday Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 79°, low 56°, 84% rain, wind 7–22 mph
- Tuesday Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 46°, 5% rain, wind 3–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 69°, low 43°, 4% rain, wind 2–7 mph
- Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 44°, 23% rain, wind 2–6 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 69°, low 45°, 5% rain, wind 2–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 71°, low 46°, 26% rain, wind 2–7 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Payne County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Payne County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| OKC 54 mi | Oct 26 | $404 |
| Tulsa 60 mi | Oct 26 | $413 |
| El Reno 67 mi | Oct 27 | $413 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Payne County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Payne County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Payne County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Payne County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 34% of the county. 35 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Payne County?
No burn ban is listed for Payne County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Payne County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulsa (60 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; El Reno (67 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Ada (92 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.