Jeff Davis County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Jeff Davis County, TX showed no drought on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, though 34% at abnormally dry (D0); 0% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, down from 69% four weeks earlier. Over 90 days rain is at 76% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 127% (above normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 8–12 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain) and the best rain chance this week is 34% on Friday (high 63°). Jeff Davis County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 3 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Santa Teresa, 170 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 127% of normal
- Last 60 days 108% of normal
- Last 90 days 76% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 8–12) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 10–16) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Patchy Blowing Dust, high 70°, low 45°, 0% rain, wind 10–35 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 64°, low 43°, 0% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 68°, low 50°, 0% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 66°, low 43°, 0% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 63°, low 43°, 34% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 56°, low 39°, 30% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Sunday Mostly Sunny, high 55°, low 38°, 9% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Jeff Davis County is Dec 1, 2026, 29 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Jeff Davis County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Jeff Davis County grew about 452 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 58% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 778 pounds per acre. That was the 5th lowest of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2010 at 1,292 pounds per acre; worst: 2002 at 377.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Jeff Davis County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Jeff Davis County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Jeff Davis County
Forecast for the center point of Jeff Davis County.
- Wind Advisory
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Patchy Blowing Dust 70° 45° W 10–35 mph 0% rain
- Tue Sunny 64° 43° NW 5–10 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 68° 50° S 5–15 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 66° 43° NW 5–15 mph 0% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 63° 43° E 5–10 mph 34% rain
- Sat Chance Rain Showers 56° 39° NE 5–15 mph 30% rain
- Sun Mostly Sunny 55° 38° E 5–10 mph 9% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Oct 27, 2021.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 2, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
- Wind Advisory Moderate
Wind Advisory issued November 2 at 6:57AM MST until November 2 at 5:00PM MST by NWS Midland/Odessa TX
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 2, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 2.13 in; same month last year 3.86 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (75 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 2, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Jeff Davis County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Mt Locke weather station (11 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 194-day growing season |
Apr 16 1 year in 10 it's after May 3 |
Oct 29 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 12 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 217-day growing season |
Apr 3 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 24 |
Nov 6 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 19 |
Ft Davis weather station (18 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 209-day growing season |
Apr 5 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 24 |
Nov 1 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 17 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 236-day growing season |
Mar 18 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 10 |
Nov 11 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 27 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Mt Locke, Ft Davis), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Jeff Davis County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Jeff Davis County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 3 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Jeff Davis County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Jeff Davis County was in no drought, and the worst part was abnormally dry (D0) on 34% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Jeff Davis County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Jeff Davis County (since Oct 27, 2021). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Jeff Davis County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Santa Teresa (170 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026; Roswell (193 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.