Fayette County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Fayette County, TX was in severe drought (D2); week 7 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Rain has run 20% of normal over the last 30 days (well below normal) and 68% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 8–12 leans toward near-normal rain and the NWS forecast peaks at a 64% rain chance on Tuesday (high 78°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Fayette County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Giddings, 21 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 20% of normal
- Last 60 days 72% of normal
- Last 90 days 68% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 8–12) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 10–16) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 86°, low 69°, 21% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 78°, low 53°, 64% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 77°, low 53°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny then Chance Rain Showers, high 79°, low 56°, 25% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 75°, low 52°, 5% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 70°, low 49°, 19% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Sunday Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 47°, 9% rain, wind 0–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Fayette County is Dec 1, 2026, 29 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Fayette County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Fayette County grew about 3,803 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 110% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 3,458 pounds per acre. That was the 12th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2016 at 4,615 pounds per acre; worst: 1986 at 993.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Fayette County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Fayette County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Nov 13, 2026in 11 daysApply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 moneyNRCS conservation programs
Details and source
NRCS takes applications year-round; apply by this date to be ranked for this fiscal year's funding.Date posted: NRCS Application Cutoff Dates page (Texas)Source: USDA NRCS · checked Nov 2, 2026 -
Dec 1, 2026in 29 daysLast day to buy 2027 pasture rain insurance (PRF)Crop insurance (RMA)
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Jan 1, 2027in 60 daysProperty values set for the tax yearTexas property tax · January 1 every year · Tax Code Sec. 23.01(a)
Details and source
What the law says
Date that taxable values (except for inventories appraised Sept. 1) and qualification for certain exemptions are determined for the tax year (Secs. 11.42(a), 23.01(a), 23.12(f)).Source: Texas Comptroller · checked Nov 2, 2026 -
Feb 1, 2027in 91 daysLast year's property taxes become delinquent if not paidTexas property tax · February 1 every year · Tax Code Sec. 31.02(a)
Details and source
What the law says
Date that taxes imposed the previous year become delinquent if a bill was mailed on or before Jan. 10 of the current year (Secs. 31.02(a), 31.04(a)).Source: Texas Comptroller · checked Nov 2, 2026 -
Mar 1, 2027in 119 daysLivestock Forage Disaster Program (LFP): application and papers for 2026 losses are due by this date.FSA disaster programs · 7 CFR 1416.206(a)
Details and source
Source: USDA FSA · checked Oct 18, 2026
All deadlines and report dates · FSA disaster-program deadlines are pending (no official feed).
Coming up: EQIP and CSP FY2027 first ranking cutoff (11 days left) · PRF rainfall insurance for 2027 (29 days left) · ARC/PLC 2026 election and enrollment (39 days left) · LFP, LIP and ELAP for 2026 losses (119 days left)
Guide: PRF insurance and the Dec 1 deadline
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Fayette County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Fayette County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Fayette County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Fayette County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 100% of the county. 7 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Fayette County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Fayette County (since Oct 23, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Fayette County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (21 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.