Aransas County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Aransas County, TX in severe drought (D2), with 12% at extreme drought (D3); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 8 straight weeks. Aransas County has had 90% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 47% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; Tuesday carries the week's highest rain chance at 68% (high 82°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 equal chances of more or less rain than normal. Aransas County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 142 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 90% of normal
- Last 60 days 61% of normal
- Last 90 days 47% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Equal chances of more or less rain than normal
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Equal chances of more or less rain than normal
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 81°, low 72°, 1% rain, wind 7 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 82°, low 74°, 7% rain, wind 6–13 mph
- Tuesday Partly Sunny then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 82°, low 63°, 68% rain, wind 9–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 77°, low 65°, 0% rain, wind 3–10 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 79°, low 64°, 23% rain, wind 5–9 mph
- Friday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 77°, low 62°, 15% rain, wind 8–12 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 75°, low 61°, 36% rain, wind 12–13 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Extreme drought (D3) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 6, 2026 | Nov 5, 2026 (4 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Aransas County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Aransas County
Forecast for the center point of Aransas County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 81° 72° ESE 7 mph 1% rain
- Mon Partly Sunny 82° 74° SSE 6–13 mph 7% rain
- Tue Partly Sunny then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 82° 63° WSW 9–10 mph 68% rain
- Wed Sunny 77° 65° NE 3–10 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 79° 64° E 5–9 mph 23% rain
- Fri Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 77° 62° NE 8–12 mph 15% rain
- Sat Chance Rain Showers 75° 61° NE 12–13 mph 36% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Mar 13, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 5.42 in; same month last year 3.48 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Aransas County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Rockport weather station (9 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 328-day growing season |
Jan 31 1 year in 10 it's after Feb 28 |
Dec 25 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 28 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 364-day growing season |
Jan 20 1 year in 10 it's after Feb 20 |
Jan 5 1 year in 10 it's before Dec 11 |
Port Aransas weather station (20 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 365-day growing season |
Jan 16 1 year in 10 it's after Feb 23 |
Jan 5 1 year in 10 it's before Dec 12 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 365-day growing season |
– 1 year in 10 it's after – |
– 1 year in 10 it's before – |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Rockport, Port Aransas), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Aransas County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Aransas County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Aransas County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Aransas County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 12% of the county. 8 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Aransas County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Aransas County (since Mar 13, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Aransas County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (142 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.