Aransas County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Aransas County, TX in severe drought (D2), with 12% at extreme drought (D3); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 8 straight weeks. Aransas County has had 90% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 47% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; Tuesday carries the week's highest rain chance at 68% (high 82°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 equal chances of more or less rain than normal. Aransas County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 142 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 90% of normal
- Last 60 days 61% of normal
- Last 90 days 47% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Equal chances of more or less rain than normal
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Equal chances of more or less rain than normal
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 81°, low 72°, 1% rain, wind 7 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 82°, low 74°, 7% rain, wind 6–13 mph
- Tuesday Partly Sunny then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 82°, low 63°, 68% rain, wind 9–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 77°, low 65°, 0% rain, wind 3–10 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 79°, low 64°, 23% rain, wind 5–9 mph
- Friday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 77°, low 62°, 15% rain, wind 8–12 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 75°, low 61°, 36% rain, wind 12–13 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Extreme drought (D3) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 6, 2026 | Nov 5, 2026 (4 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Aransas County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Drought, past 12 months
100% of the county in severe drought or worse, 8 weeks running.
How to read this
Each band is how much of the county was in that drought level that week. Darker = worse. D2 (severe) and darker can trigger USDA drought pay.
Right now: 100% of the county is in severe drought or worse; some of it has been for 8 weeks running. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Aransas County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Aransas County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Aransas County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Aransas County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 12% of the county. 8 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Aransas County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Aransas County (since Mar 13, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Aransas County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (142 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.