Winkler County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Winkler County, TX was in moderate drought (D1) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with a sliver (<1%) at severe drought (D2); week 6 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Rain has run 282% of normal over the last 30 days (well above normal) and 116% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; no day in the 7-day forecast tops a 16% rain chance and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Winkler County with up to 3 monthly payments, and Roswell is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 138 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 282% of normal
- Last 60 days 173% of normal
- Last 90 days 116% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 78°, low 62°, 2% rain, wind 10–20 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 79°, low 52°, 3% rain, wind 5–25 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 70°, low 48°, 0% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 74°, low 50°, 0% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 72°, low 47°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 68°, low 48°, 15% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 68°, low 48°, 16% rain, wind 5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Winkler County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
A county next to Winkler County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (Lea County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Ector County, TX, Loving County, TX). The IRS counts your county plus every county touching it.
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Winkler County
Forecast for the center point of Winkler County.
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Mostly Cloudy 78° 62° SE 10–20 mph 2% rain
- Mon Sunny 79° 52° SW 5–25 mph 3% rain
- Tue Sunny 70° 48° N 0–10 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 74° 50° SE 5–10 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 72° 47° N 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 68° 48° E 0–5 mph 15% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 68° 48° NE 5 mph 16% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Jun 23, 2025.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.95 in; same month last year 0.85 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Winkler County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Winkler Co Ap weather station (9 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 222-day growing season |
Mar 26 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 16 |
Nov 6 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 24 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 249-day growing season |
Mar 10 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 1 |
Nov 16 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 1 |
Penwell weather station (28 mi away)
farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 244-day growing season |
Mar 14 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 6 |
Nov 14 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 30 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 269-day growing season |
Mar 2 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 24 |
Nov 25 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 8 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Winkler Co Ap, Penwell), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Winkler County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Winkler County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 3 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Winkler County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Winkler County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on a sliver (<1%) of the county. 6 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Winkler County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Winkler County (since Jun 23, 2025). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Winkler County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Roswell (138 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; San Angelo (156 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Clovis (177 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.