Willacy County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Willacy County, TX in moderate drought (D1), with 2% at severe drought (D2); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 11 straight weeks. Over 90 days rain is at 85% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 233% (well above normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (40% chance of above-normal rain) and the best rain chance this week is 44% on Saturday (high 79°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Willacy County with up to 5 monthly payments.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 233% of normal
- Last 60 days 105% of normal
- Last 90 days 85% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (40% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 87°, low 70°, 1% rain, wind 2–10 mph
- Monday Mostly Sunny, high 89°, low 72°, 2% rain, wind 3–15 mph
- Tuesday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 91°, low 67°, 20% rain, wind 6–9 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 82°, low 64°, 3% rain, wind 0–9 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 86°, low 66°, 27% rain, wind 2–10 mph
- Friday Chance Rain Showers, high 82°, low 64°, 41% rain, wind 3–13 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 79°, low 62°, 44% rain, wind 5–13 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Willacy County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Willacy County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Drought, past 12 months
2% of the county in severe drought or worse, 11 weeks running.
How to read this
Each band is how much of the county was in that drought level that week. Darker = worse. D2 (severe) and darker can trigger USDA drought pay.
Right now: 2% of the county is in severe drought or worse; some of it has been for 11 weeks running. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Willacy County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Willacy County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Willacy County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Willacy County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 2% of the county. 11 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Willacy County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Willacy County (since Aug 30, 2023). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Willacy County?
No USDA-reported sale barn within 200 miles.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Grapefruit Trees 2027: last day to buy crop insurance; Nov 1, 2026: Lemon Trees 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.