Wheeler County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Wheeler County, TX was in severe drought (D2), with 8% at extreme drought (D3); week 32 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Over 90 days rain is at 98% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 139% (above normal); today carries the week's highest rain chance at 65% (high 69°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Wheeler County (county seat: Wheeler) with up to 5 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Woodward, 87 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 139% of normal
- Last 60 days 135% of normal
- Last 90 days 98% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Cloudy, high 69°, low 60°, 65% rain, wind 15–20 mph
- Monday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 77°, low 49°, 18% rain, wind 15–20 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 65°, low 43°, 0% rain, wind 5–25 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 69°, low 45°, 10% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 64°, low 40°, 3% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 63°, low 42°, 7% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 65°, low 44°, 19% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Wheeler County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Wheeler County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Wheeler County
Forecast for the center point of Wheeler County.
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Cloudy 69° 60° SSE 15–20 mph 65% rain
- Mon Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 77° 49° SSW 15–20 mph 18% rain
- Tue Sunny 65° 43° NW 5–25 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 69° 45° SW 5–10 mph 10% rain
- Thu Sunny 64° 40° N 5–15 mph 3% rain
- Fri Sunny 63° 42° SW 0–5 mph 7% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 65° 44° WNW 5–10 mph 19% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Aug 3, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 2.22 in; same month last year 2.04 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Wheeler County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Shamrock #2 weather station (12 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 202-day growing season |
Apr 9 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 26 |
Oct 30 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 17 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 222-day growing season |
Mar 31 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 17 |
Nov 6 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 22 |
Mc Lean weather station (22 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 201-day growing season |
Apr 10 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 29 |
Oct 30 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 14 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 224-day growing season |
Mar 30 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 18 |
Nov 9 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 23 |
short record Based on only 17 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Shamrock #2, Mc Lean), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Printable county brief (PDF) · Everything on one page · Hay prices in Texas · County seat: Wheeler
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Wheeler County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Wheeler County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Wheeler County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Wheeler County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 8% of the county. 32 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Wheeler County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Wheeler County (since Aug 3, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Wheeler County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Woodward (87 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Beaver (100 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Tulia (105 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.