Gray County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Gray County, TX was in extreme drought (D3) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; week 32 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Rain has run 108% of normal over the last 30 days (near normal) and 119% over 90 days; the NWS forecast peaks at a 63% rain chance on today (high 69°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Gray County (county seat: Pampa) with up to 5 monthly payments, and Wildorado is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 75 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 108% of normal
- Last 60 days 174% of normal
- Last 90 days 119% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Cloudy, high 69°, low 60°, 63% rain, wind 10–25 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 75°, low 49°, 9% rain, wind 20–25 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 64°, low 43°, 2% rain, wind 5–30 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 69°, low 44°, 11% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 64°, low 41°, 9% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 66°, low 44°, 8% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 66°, low 43°, 23% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Gray County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Gray County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Wildorado 75 mi | Oct 27 | $409 |
| Tulia 82 mi | Oct 29 | $386 |
| Beaver 99 mi | Oct 27 | $433 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
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Printable county brief (PDF) · Everything on one page · Hay prices in Texas · County seat: Pampa
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Gray County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Gray County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Gray County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Gray County was in extreme drought (D3), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 80% of the county. 32 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Gray County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Gray County (since Jan 15, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Gray County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Wildorado (75 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Tulia (82 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Beaver (99 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.