Uvalde County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Uvalde County, TX was in moderate drought (D1), with 9% at extreme drought (D3); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 5 straight weeks. Over 90 days rain is at 48% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 67% (below normal); the NWS forecast peaks at a 74% rain chance on today (high 84°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 8–12 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Uvalde County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is San Angelo, 150 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 67% of normal
- Last 60 days 62% of normal
- Last 90 days 48% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 8–12) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 10–16) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Sunny, high 84°, low 67°, 74% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 80°, low 51°, 9% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 77°, low 54°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 79°, low 57°, 4% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 77°, low 53°, 22% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 70°, low 50°, 45% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Sunday Mostly Sunny, high 70°, low 48°, 11% rain, wind 0–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Uvalde County is Dec 1, 2026, 29 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Uvalde County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Uvalde County grew about 1,463 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 114% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 1,288 pounds per acre. That was the 11th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2007 at 1,977 pounds per acre; worst: 1988 at 343.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Extreme drought (D3) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 6, 2026 | Nov 5, 2026 (3 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Uvalde County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
Loading prices…
Loading drought…
Loading programs…
Weather for Uvalde County
Forecast for the center point of Uvalde County.
- Today Sunny 84° 67° SSE 0–10 mph 74% rain
- Tue Sunny 80° 51° NNW 0–10 mph 9% rain
- Wed Sunny 77° 54° ENE 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Thu Mostly Sunny 79° 57° SSE 0–10 mph 4% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 77° 53° NNE 5–10 mph 22% rain
- Sat Chance Rain Showers 70° 50° NE 5–10 mph 45% rain
- Sun Mostly Sunny 70° 48° N 0–10 mph 11% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 2, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 2, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.20 in; same month last year 2.00 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (75 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 2, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Uvalde County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Camp Wood weather station (26 mi away)
farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 248-day growing season |
Mar 12 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 2 |
Nov 14 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 30 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 272-day growing season |
Mar 1 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 24 |
Nov 27 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 6 |
short record Based on only 19 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Camp Wood), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
Loading money…
Loading deadlines…
Loading land…
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Uvalde County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Uvalde County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Uvalde County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Uvalde County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 9% of the county. 5 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Uvalde County?
No burn ban is listed for Uvalde County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Uvalde County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: San Angelo (150 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Giddings (180 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.