Trinity County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Trinity County, TX was in moderate drought (D1), with 9% at severe drought (D2); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 1 straight week. Rain has run 30% of normal over the last 30 days (well below normal) and 93% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the best rain chance this week is 98% on Tuesday (high 78°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain). Trinity County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 2 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Giddings, 123 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 30% of normal
- Last 60 days 99% of normal
- Last 90 days 93% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 84°, low 65°, 9% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Monday Patchy Fog then Partly Sunny, high 84°, low 68°, 22% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms, high 78°, low 53°, 98% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 74°, low 49°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 76°, low 50°, 20% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 75°, low 48°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 75°, low 50°, 19% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Severe drought (D2) began (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 27, 2026 | Nov 26, 2026 (25 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Trinity County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Trinity County
Forecast for the center point of Trinity County.
- Today Partly Sunny 84° 65° NE 0–5 mph 9% rain
- Mon Patchy Fog then Partly Sunny 84° 68° SE 5–10 mph 22% rain
- Tue Showers And Thunderstorms 78° 53° SW 0–10 mph 98% rain
- Wed Sunny 74° 49° NW 0–5 mph 2% rain
- Thu Slight Chance Rain Showers 76° 50° SW 0–5 mph 20% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 75° 48° N 0–5 mph 2% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers 75° 50° N 0–5 mph 19% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Oct 28, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.88 in; same month last year 1.18 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (92 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Trinity County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Crockett weather station (23 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 251-day growing season |
Mar 13 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 2 |
Nov 17 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 1 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 280-day growing season |
Feb 24 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 17 |
Nov 30 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 8 |
Lufkin Angelina Co Ap weather station (25 mi away)
farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 247-day growing season |
Mar 11 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 4 |
Nov 15 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 30 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 278-day growing season |
Feb 25 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 17 |
Nov 28 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 6 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Crockett, Lufkin Angelina Co Ap), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Trinity County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Trinity County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 2 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Trinity County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Trinity County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 9% of the county. 1 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Trinity County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Trinity County (since Oct 28, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Trinity County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (123 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; Hope (200 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.