Tarrant County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Tarrant County, TX was abnormally dry (D0), with 49% at moderate drought (D1); four weeks earlier 100% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 49%. Rain has run 40% of normal over the last 30 days (well below normal) and 65% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the NWS forecast peaks at a 81% rain chance on Monday (high 84°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Tarrant County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Ada is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 142 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 40% of normal
- Last 60 days 87% of normal
- Last 90 days 65% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 80°, low 67°, 3% rain, wind 5 mph
- Monday Mostly Sunny, high 84°, low 62°, 81% rain, wind 10–20 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 74°, low 51°, 7% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 74°, low 51°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 76°, low 50°, 3% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 70°, low 49°, 6% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 70°, low 49°, 20% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Tarrant County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Tarrant County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Tarrant County
Forecast for the center point of Tarrant County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 80° 67° SE 5 mph 3% rain
- Mon Mostly Sunny 84° 62° S 10–20 mph 81% rain
- Tue Sunny 74° 51° WNW 0–15 mph 7% rain
- Wed Sunny 74° 51° W 0–5 mph 1% rain
- Thu Sunny 76° 50° WSW 0–10 mph 3% rain
- Fri Sunny 70° 49° N 0–5 mph 6% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 70° 49° N 0–5 mph 20% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.11 in; same month last year 1.73 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Tarrant County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Ft Worth Wsfo weather station (4 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 255-day growing season |
Mar 10 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 31 |
Nov 20 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 4 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 278-day growing season |
Feb 26 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 17 |
Dec 1 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 13 |
Ft Worth Meacham Fld weather station (5 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 252-day growing season |
Mar 11 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 3 |
Nov 19 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 3 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 275-day growing season |
Feb 28 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 19 |
Dec 1 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 11 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Ft Worth Wsfo, Ft Worth Meacham Fld), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Tarrant County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Tarrant County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Tarrant County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Tarrant County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 49% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Tarrant County?
No burn ban is listed for Tarrant County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Tarrant County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Ada (142 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Apache (159 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; McAlester (172 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.