Johnson County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Johnson County, TX was in moderate drought (D1); 57% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, down from 100% four weeks earlier. Rain has run 91% of normal over the last 30 days (near normal) and 86% over 90 days; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain) and the NWS forecast peaks at a 87% rain chance on Monday (high 84°). Johnson County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 154 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 91% of normal
- Last 60 days 117% of normal
- Last 90 days 86% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 82°, low 64°, 4% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 84°, low 63°, 87% rain, wind 10–20 mph
- Tuesday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny, high 74°, low 51°, 18% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 73°, low 49°, 10% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny, high 75°, low 49°, 15% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 71°, low 49°, 3% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 73°, low 50°, 15% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Johnson County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Johnson County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Giddings 154 mi | Oct 26 | $359 |
| Ada 170 mi | Oct 28 | $415 |
| Apache 183 mi | Oct 29 | $429 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Johnson County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Johnson County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Johnson County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Johnson County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 57% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Johnson County?
No burn ban is listed for Johnson County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Johnson County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (154 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; Ada (170 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Apache (183 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.