Smith County, TX

Smith County rain, outlook and forecast

On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Smith County, TX was in severe drought (D2), with a sliver (<1%) at extreme drought (D3); week 9 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Over 90 days rain is at 50% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 23% (well below normal); the best rain chance this week is 77% on Tuesday (high 75°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans toward near-normal rain. Smith County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Hope is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 132 miles.

Next 7 days

1. Today Partly Sunny, high 82°, low 63°, 5% rain, wind 5 mph
2. Monday Partly Sunny, high 85°, low 67°, 68% rain, wind 5–15 mph
3. Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms, high 75°, low 50°, 77% rain, wind 5–15 mph
4. Wednesday Sunny, high 72°, low 47°, 2% rain, wind 0–10 mph
5. Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 74°, low 47°, 18% rain, wind 0–5 mph
6. Friday Sunny, high 73°, low 46°, 15% rain, wind 0–5 mph
7. Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 73°, low 48°, 17% rain, wind 0–5 mph

National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.