San Patricio County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of San Patricio County, TX was in severe drought (D2), with 30% at extreme drought (D3); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 9 straight weeks. San Patricio County has had 113% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 55% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain) and Tuesday carries the week's highest rain chance at 63% (high 84°). San Patricio County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 154 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 113% of normal
- Last 60 days 72% of normal
- Last 90 days 55% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 84°, low 68°, 1% rain, wind 2–7 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 85°, low 72°, 8% rain, wind 3–14 mph
- Tuesday Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 84°, low 60°, 63% rain, wind 5–8 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 78°, low 59°, 0% rain, wind 1–7 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 81°, low 61°, 22% rain, wind 2–7 mph
- Friday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 78°, low 59°, 15% rain, wind 3–9 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 76°, low 59°, 37% rain, wind 3–9 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in San Patricio County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
San Patricio County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for San Patricio County
Forecast for the center point of San Patricio County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 84° 68° ESE 2–7 mph 1% rain
- Mon Partly Sunny 85° 72° SSE 3–14 mph 8% rain
- Tue Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 84° 60° SW 5–8 mph 63% rain
- Wed Sunny 78° 59° NE 1–7 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 81° 61° E 2–7 mph 22% rain
- Fri Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 78° 59° NE 3–9 mph 15% rain
- Sat Chance Rain Showers 76° 59° NE 3–9 mph 37% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 5.11 in; same month last year 3.32 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest San Patricio County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Sinton weather station (3 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 324-day growing season |
Feb 1 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 6 |
Dec 17 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 22 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 361-day growing season |
Jan 12 1 year in 10 it's after Feb 24 |
Jan 1 1 year in 10 it's before Dec 3 |
Welder Wildlife Foundation weather station (9 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 283-day growing season |
Feb 24 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 15 |
Dec 1 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 9 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 323-day growing season |
Jan 31 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 5 |
Dec 18 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 22 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Sinton, Welder Wildlife Foundation), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is San Patricio County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. San Patricio County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in San Patricio County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of San Patricio County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 30% of the county. 9 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in San Patricio County?
No burn ban is listed for San Patricio County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near San Patricio County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (154 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.