Live Oak County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Live Oak County, TX was in severe drought (D2), with 16% at extreme drought (D3), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 10 weeks running. Over 90 days rain is at 65% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 42% (well below normal); Tuesday carries the week's highest rain chance at 68% (high 83°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain). Live Oak County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 5 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Giddings, 146 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 42% of normal
- Last 60 days 71% of normal
- Last 90 days 65% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 87°, low 69°, 2% rain, wind 3–7 mph
- Monday Patchy Fog then Partly Sunny, high 89°, low 69°, 2% rain, wind 3–12 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 83°, low 57°, 68% rain, wind 1–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 78°, low 55°, 1% rain, wind 1–7 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 81°, low 56°, 6% rain, wind 1–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 79°, low 56°, 15% rain, wind 0–8 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms, high 78°, low 56°, 30% rain, wind 0–8 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Live Oak County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Live Oak County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Giddings 146 mi | Oct 26 | $359 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
Guide: How to read a USDA sale barn report
All weights at the 1 nearest barns
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Live Oak County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Live Oak County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Live Oak County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Live Oak County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 16% of the county. 10 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Live Oak County?
No burn ban is listed for Live Oak County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Live Oak County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (146 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.