Red River County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Red River County, TX in extreme drought (D3), with 23% at exceptional drought (D4); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 10 straight weeks. Rain has run 5% of normal over the last 30 days (well below normal) and 39% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the NWS forecast peaks at a 89% rain chance on Monday (high 83°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Red River County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Hope is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 84 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 5% of normal
- Last 60 days 17% of normal
- Last 90 days 39% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 82°, low 61°, 3% rain, wind 5 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 83°, low 65°, 89% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Tuesday Rain Showers Likely then Partly Sunny, high 76°, low 50°, 61% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 73°, low 46°, 1% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 76°, low 46°, 5% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 74°, low 44°, 3% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 72°, low 45°, 18% rain, wind 5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Red River County is Dec 1, 2026, 30 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Red River County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Red River County grew about 3,602 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 110% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 3,261 pounds per acre. That was the 5th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2017 at 3,786 pounds per acre; worst: 1986 at 1,286.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exceptional drought (D4) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 27, 2026 | Nov 26, 2026 (25 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Red River County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Red River County
Forecast for the center point of Red River County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 82° 61° SE 5 mph 3% rain
- Mon Partly Sunny 83° 65° SE 5–15 mph 89% rain
- Tue Rain Showers Likely then Partly Sunny 76° 50° SW 5–15 mph 61% rain
- Wed Sunny 73° 46° NW 0–10 mph 1% rain
- Thu Sunny 76° 46° SW 0–5 mph 5% rain
- Fri Sunny 74° 44° N 5–10 mph 3% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 72° 45° NE 5 mph 18% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Aug 25, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.87 in; same month last year 1.90 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Red River County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Clarksville 2ne weather station (1 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 233-day growing season |
Mar 20 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 11 |
Nov 10 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 28 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 262-day growing season |
Mar 5 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 28 |
Nov 23 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 5 |
short record Based on only 17 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Idabel weather station (25 mi away)
farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 221-day growing season |
Mar 31 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 18 |
Nov 3 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 18 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 246-day growing season |
Mar 13 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 2 |
Nov 13 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 29 |
short record Based on only 17 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Clarksville 2ne, Idabel), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Red River County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Red River County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Red River County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Red River County was in extreme drought (D3), and the worst part was exceptional drought (D4) on 23% of the county. 10 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Red River County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Red River County (since Aug 25, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Red River County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Hope (84 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; McAlester (99 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Ada (122 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.