Choctaw County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Choctaw County, OK was in extreme drought (D3); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 10 straight weeks. Rain has run 19% of normal over the last 30 days (well below normal) and 34% over 90 days; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans toward near-normal rain and Monday carries the week's highest rain chance at 90% (high 83°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Choctaw County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is McAlester, 63 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 19% of normal
- Last 60 days 44% of normal
- Last 90 days 34% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy, high 77°, low 61°, 5% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 83°, low 63°, 90% rain, wind 10–15 mph
- Tuesday Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny, high 74°, low 48°, 33% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 71°, low 44°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny, high 73°, low 45°, 17% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 73°, low 45°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 73°, low 47°, 20% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Choctaw County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Choctaw County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| McAlester 63 mi | Oct 27 | $369 |
| Ada 82 mi | Oct 28 | $415 |
| Hope 115 mi | Oct 29 | $372 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
Guide: How to read a USDA sale barn report
All weights at the 3 nearest barns
5 more within 200 mi: Ratcliff (129 mi), Tulsa (146 mi), Siloam Springs (160 mi), Apache (171 mi), El Reno (172 mi).
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Choctaw County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Choctaw County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Choctaw County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Choctaw County was in extreme drought (D3), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 100% of the county. 10 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Choctaw County?
No burn ban is listed for Choctaw County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Choctaw County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: McAlester (63 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Ada (82 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Hope (115 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.