Real County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Real County, TX was abnormally dry (D0); 59% of the county is abnormally dry (D0) or worse, down from 63% four weeks earlier. Real County has had 64% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 69% over 90 days; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain) and the best rain chance this week is 80% on Monday (high 79°). Real County is not on FSA's 2026 LFP list yet, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is San Angelo, 118 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 64% of normal
- Last 60 days 85% of normal
- Last 90 days 69% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 77°, low 65°, 9% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Monday Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy, high 79°, low 63°, 80% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Tuesday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 74°, low 50°, 18% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 74°, low 51°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 75°, low 50°, 4% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 72°, low 52°, 15% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 72°, low 51°, 24% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Real County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
A county next to Real County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (Bandera County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Uvalde County, TX). The IRS counts your county plus every county touching it.
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Real County
Forecast for the center point of Real County.
- Today Mostly Cloudy 77° 65° SSE 5–10 mph 9% rain
- Mon Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy 79° 63° S 5–15 mph 80% rain
- Tue Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 74° 50° NNW 0–15 mph 18% rain
- Wed Sunny 74° 51° NW 0–5 mph 1% rain
- Thu Sunny 75° 50° SW 0–10 mph 4% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 72° 52° NNE 0–5 mph 15% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 72° 51° SSE 5–10 mph 24% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Aug 31, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.24 in; same month last year 1.56 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (92 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Real County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Prade Rch weather station (6 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 212-day growing season |
Apr 5 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 25 |
Nov 2 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 20 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 239-day growing season |
Mar 17 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 10 |
Nov 12 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 27 |
Camp Wood weather station (16 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 248-day growing season |
Mar 12 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 2 |
Nov 14 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 30 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 272-day growing season |
Mar 1 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 24 |
Nov 27 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 6 |
short record Based on only 19 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Prade Rch, Camp Wood), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Real County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Not on FSA's 2026 LFP county list as of Oct 29, 2026. FSA updates the list as drought changes.
What is the drought level in Real County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Real County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was abnormally dry (D0) on 59% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Real County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Real County (since Aug 31, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Real County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: San Angelo (118 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Giddings (174 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.