Pawnee County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Pawnee County, OK was abnormally dry (D0) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 43% at moderate drought (D1); 43% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, down from 100% four weeks earlier. Pawnee County has had 146% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 92% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; Monday carries the week's highest rain chance at 90% (high 75°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Pawnee County with up to 3 monthly payments, and Tulsa is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 46 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 146% of normal
- Last 60 days 117% of normal
- Last 90 days 92% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Partly Sunny, high 72°, low 60°, 4% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Monday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 75°, low 55°, 90% rain, wind 10–20 mph
- Tuesday Mostly Sunny, high 70°, low 45°, 6% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 70°, low 43°, 5% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 66°, low 42°, 19% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 66°, low 42°, 2% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 69°, low 44°, 25% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Pawnee County is Dec 1, 2026, 30 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Pawnee County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Pawnee County grew about 3,033 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 108% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 2,806 pounds per acre. That was the 11th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 1999 at 3,198 pounds per acre; worst: 1986 at 1,864.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Pawnee County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Pawnee County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Drought pasture pay (LFP)
On FSA's 2026 list for 8 pasture types. Up to 3 monthly payments.
Bring head counts, grazing leases and pasture acres to your county FSA office.
How to read this
Each bar is a pasture type; the number is how many monthly payments it qualifies for (1 to 5).
Pasture table
| Pasture type | Grazing period | Qualifying date | Payments |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annual Crabgrass | 2026-04-15 to 2026-11-14 | 2026-04-15 | 3 |
| Annual Ryegrass | 2025-11-15 to 2026-04-14 | 2026-03-31 | 3 |
| Cool Season Improved | 2025-11-15 to 2026-04-14 | 2026-03-31 | 3 |
| Long Season Small Grains | 2025-11-15 to 2026-05-15 | 2026-03-31 | 3 |
| Native Pasture | 2026-04-15 to 2026-11-14 | 2026-04-15 | 3 |
| Warm Season Improved | 2026-04-15 to 2026-11-14 | 2026-04-15 | 3 |
| Forage Sorghum | 2026-07-15 to 2026-11-14 | 2026-09-07 | 2 |
| Short Ssn Spring Sml Grn | 2026-03-16 to 2026-05-15 | 2026-03-31 | 2 |
FSA "Counties & Pasture Types Eligible for 2026 LFP", file dated Oct 29, 2026 (download). FSA decides eligibility. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
USDA disaster declarations
- Apr 29, 2026 · Drought
Neighboring county declared (counts for Pawnee) · crop year 2026 - Apr 15, 2026 · Drought
Pawnee declared · crop year 2026
"Declared" means USDA named this county. "Neighboring" means it touches a declared county. Either way, FSA emergency loans can open for about 8 months. FSA designation files (dated Oct 19, 2026). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
CRP emergency haying and grazing
Open Pawnee County is on FSA's emergency haying and grazing list, starting Sep 1, 2026. Trigger: D2 (severe) drought on the Drought Monitor. Get an updated conservation plan from FSA before cutting or turning out.
Before haying and grazing, contact your FSA county office to see if your county remains eligible and/or obtain a modified conservation plan. This list is cumulative for the year and current local conditions may have changed.
Source: FSA eligible-county table posted Oct 29, 2026 · map · FSA program page. FSA posts a new file every Thursday. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Animal health notices: Oklahoma
Statewide notices from the Oklahoma Department of Agriculture, Food and Forestry (ODAFF). The agency does not publish county-by-county zones, so these are not specific to Pawnee County.
- Jun 15, 2026 status
New World screwworm: there are no confirmed cases in Oklahoma - Jun 4, 2026 news release
New World Screwworm Confirmed in Texas
Suspect a case? Call the State Veterinarian's Office at 405-522-6141 (official page).
Source: Oklahoma Department of Agriculture, Food and Forestry (ODAFF) (ag.ok.gov, ag.ok.gov); each item is dated by the agency. Latest item as of Jun 15, 2026. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
New FSA programs: watch list
| Date | Scope | Release | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Oklahoma | USDA Designates Three Oklahoma Counties as Natural Disaster Areas | |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Minnesota | USDA Designates Numerous Counties in Minnesota as Natural Disaster Areas Due to Drought | |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Maine | USDA Offers Disaster Assistance to Agricultural Producers in Maine Impacted by Drought | |
| Oct 29, 2026 | North Carolina | USDA Designates 13 North Carolina Counties as a Natural Disaster Area | |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Oklahoma | USDA Designates Eight Oklahoma Counties as Natural Disaster Areas |
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Pawnee County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Pawnee County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 3 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Pawnee County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Pawnee County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 43% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Pawnee County?
No burn ban is listed for Pawnee County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Pawnee County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulsa (46 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; El Reno (89 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Ada (107 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.