Oldham County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Oldham County, TX abnormally dry (D0); four weeks earlier 100% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 0%. Over 90 days rain is at 111% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 79% (below normal); the best rain chance this week is 78% on today (high 72°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain). Oldham County (county seat: Vega) is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 5 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Wildorado, 31 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 79% of normal
- Last 60 days 189% of normal
- Last 90 days 111% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 72°, low 59°, 78% rain, wind 15–30 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 67°, low 47°, 7% rain, wind 10–30 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 63°, low 42°, 1% rain, wind 5–20 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 69°, low 44°, 9% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 64°, low 40°, 3% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 66°, low 45°, 15% rain, wind 5 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 64°, low 42°, 30% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Oldham County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Oldham County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Oldham County
Forecast for the center point of Oldham County.
- Windy on 2 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy 72° 59° S 15–30 mph 78% rain
- Mon Sunny 67° 47° WSW 10–30 mph 7% rain
- Tue Sunny 63° 42° N 5–20 mph 1% rain
- Wed Sunny 69° 44° SW 5–10 mph 9% rain
- Thu Sunny 64° 40° N 5–15 mph 3% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 66° 45° WSW 5 mph 15% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 64° 42° NW 5–10 mph 30% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Sep 13, 2023.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.55 in; same month last year 0.98 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (92 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Oldham County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Boys Rch weather station (21 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 183-day growing season |
Apr 19 1 year in 10 it's after May 2 |
Oct 23 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 10 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 204-day growing season |
Apr 8 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 24 |
Nov 1 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 18 |
Bravo weather station (28 mi away)
farther away No station with freeze dates is close to the county center, so local dates can differ.
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 172-day growing season |
Apr 27 1 year in 10 it's after May 8 |
Oct 17 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 4 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 192-day growing season |
Apr 15 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 30 |
Oct 26 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 13 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Boys Rch, Bravo), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Printable county brief (PDF) · Everything on one page · Hay prices in Texas · County seat: Vega
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Oldham County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Oldham County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Oldham County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Oldham County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was abnormally dry (D0) on 53% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Oldham County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Oldham County (since Sep 13, 2023). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Oldham County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Wildorado (31 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Dalhart (44 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Tulia (76 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.