Nueces County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Nueces County, TX was in severe drought (D2), with 1% at extreme drought (D3); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 10 straight weeks. Over 90 days rain is at 56% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 109% (near normal); the best rain chance this week is 57% on Tuesday (high 86°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain). Nueces County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 173 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 109% of normal
- Last 60 days 73% of normal
- Last 90 days 56% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 85°, low 70°, 1% rain, wind 3–10 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 86°, low 73°, 5% rain, wind 5–16 mph
- Tuesday Partly Sunny then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 86°, low 63°, 57% rain, wind 6–9 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 79°, low 62°, 0% rain, wind 1–9 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 83°, low 64°, 28% rain, wind 2–10 mph
- Friday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 79°, low 62°, 15% rain, wind 5–12 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 77°, low 61°, 39% rain, wind 5–12 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Nueces County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Nueces County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Drought, past 12 months
100% of the county in severe drought or worse, 10 weeks running.
How to read this
Each band is how much of the county was in that drought level that week. Darker = worse. D2 (severe) and darker can trigger USDA drought pay.
Right now: 100% of the county is in severe drought or worse; some of it has been for 10 weeks running. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Nueces County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Nueces County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Nueces County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Nueces County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 1% of the county. 10 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Nueces County?
No burn ban is listed for Nueces County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Nueces County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (173 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.