McMullen County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of McMullen County, TX was in extreme drought (D3), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 105 weeks running. Rain has run 22% of normal over the last 30 days (well below normal) and 48% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain) and the best rain chance this week is 45% on Tuesday (high 82°). McMullen County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 5 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 159 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 22% of normal
- Last 60 days 53% of normal
- Last 90 days 48% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 87°, low 67°, 2% rain, wind 5–6 mph
- Monday Patchy Fog then Partly Sunny, high 90°, low 69°, 23% rain, wind 3–12 mph
- Tuesday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Partly Sunny, high 82°, low 55°, 45% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 79°, low 56°, 0% rain, wind 2–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 82°, low 58°, 8% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 79°, low 55°, 12% rain, wind 1–9 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 76°, low 55°, 28% rain, wind 1–8 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in McMullen County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
McMullen County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Drought, past 12 months
100% of the county in severe drought or worse, 105 weeks running.
How to read this
Each band is how much of the county was in that drought level that week. Darker = worse. D2 (severe) and darker can trigger USDA drought pay.
Right now: 100% of the county is in severe drought or worse; some of it has been for 105 weeks running. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is McMullen County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. McMullen County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in McMullen County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of McMullen County was in extreme drought (D3), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 67% of the county. 105 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in McMullen County?
No burn ban is listed for McMullen County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near McMullen County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (159 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.