Kay County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Kay County, OK was in moderate drought (D1), with 6% at severe drought (D2); week 8 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Over 90 days rain is at 91% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 75% (below normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans toward near-normal rain and the best rain chance this week is 76% on Monday (high 77°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Kay County with up to 2 monthly payments, and Tulsa is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 84 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 75% of normal
- Last 60 days 91% of normal
- Last 90 days 91% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 73°, low 61°, 6% rain, wind 7–20 mph
- Monday Showers And Thunderstorms, high 77°, low 55°, 76% rain, wind 9–23 mph
- Tuesday Mostly Sunny, high 68°, low 46°, 9% rain, wind 6–16 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 68°, low 44°, 4% rain, wind 3–9 mph
- Thursday Chance Rain Showers, high 68°, low 44°, 30% rain, wind 3–8 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 68°, low 46°, 7% rain, wind 3–7 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 71°, low 47°, 24% rain, wind 3–9 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Kay County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Kay County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Tulsa 84 mi | Oct 26 | $413 |
| OKC 97 mi | Oct 26 | $404 |
| El Reno 99 mi | Oct 27 | $413 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
Guide: How to read a USDA sale barn report
All weights at the 3 nearest barns
10 more within 200 mi: Pratt (102 mi), Woodward (126 mi), Salina (140 mi), Ada (144 mi), Apache (149 mi), McAlester (151 mi), Siloam Springs (152 mi), Dodge City (170 mi), Exeter (178 mi), Beaver (187 mi).
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Kay County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Kay County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 2 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Kay County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Kay County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 6% of the county. 8 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Kay County?
No burn ban is listed for Kay County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Kay County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulsa (84 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; El Reno (99 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Pratt (102 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 1, 2026: Property taxes due (bills payable from November 1); Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.