Hartley County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Hartley County, TX was abnormally dry (D0), with a sliver (<1%) at moderate drought (D1); four weeks earlier 100% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 0%. Over 90 days rain is at 200% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 238% (well above normal); today carries the week's highest rain chance at 81% (high 69°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Hartley County (county seat: Channing) with up to 5 monthly payments, and Dalhart is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 13 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 238% of normal
- Last 60 days 339% of normal
- Last 90 days 200% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 69°, low 55°, 81% rain, wind 20–25 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 67°, low 43°, 14% rain, wind 20–30 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 62°, low 38°, 0% rain, wind 5–20 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 66°, low 40°, 7% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 61°, low 36°, 1% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 62°, low 39°, 10% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 63°, low 38°, 18% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Hartley County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Hartley County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Dalhart 13 mi | Oct 29 | $413 |
| Wildorado 53 mi | Oct 27 | $409 |
| Tulia 102 mi | Oct 29 | $386 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
Guide: How to read a USDA sale barn report
All weights at the 3 nearest barns
6 more within 200 mi: Clovis (106 mi), Beaver (134 mi), La Junta LJLC (157 mi), La Junta Winter (157 mi), Woodward (185 mi), Dodge City (196 mi).
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Printable county brief (PDF) · Everything on one page · Hay prices in Texas · County seat: Channing
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Hartley County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Hartley County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Hartley County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Hartley County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on a sliver (<1%) of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Hartley County?
No burn ban is listed for Hartley County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Hartley County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Dalhart (13 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Wildorado (53 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Tulia (102 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.