Hale County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Hale County, TX was abnormally dry (D0), with 37% at moderate drought (D1); four weeks earlier 100% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 37%. Hale County has had 153% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 159% over 90 days; no day in the 7-day forecast tops a 16% rain chance and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 8–12 leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain). Hale County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Tulia is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 32 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 153% of normal
- Last 60 days 244% of normal
- Last 90 days 159% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 8–12) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 10–16) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 75°, low 47°, 16% rain, wind 10–25 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 61°, low 41°, 0% rain, wind 0–20 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 66°, low 46°, 0% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 62°, low 39°, 0% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 61°, low 41°, 7% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 60°, low 40°, 9% rain, wind 5 mph
- Sunday Sunny, high 60°, low 39°, 4% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Hale County is Dec 1, 2026, 29 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Hale County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Hale County grew about 1,476 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 108% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 1,370 pounds per acre. That was the 14th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2007 at 2,120 pounds per acre; worst: 1987 at 456.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Hale County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Hale County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Hale County
Forecast for the center point of Hale County.
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Slight Chance Rain Showers 75° 47° W 10–25 mph 16% rain
- Tue Sunny 61° 41° NNW 0–20 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 66° 46° SSW 5–15 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 62° 39° NNW 5–15 mph 0% rain
- Fri Sunny 61° 41° SSW 0–5 mph 7% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 60° 40° NW 5 mph 9% rain
- Sun Sunny 60° 39° NW 5–10 mph 4% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Jul 25, 2022.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 2, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 2, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 2.28 in; same month last year 1.13 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (75 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 2, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Hale County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Plainview Wtr Productn weather station (10 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 200-day growing season |
Apr 11 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 26 |
Oct 29 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 17 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 220-day growing season |
Apr 1 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 19 |
Nov 7 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 23 |
Plainview weather station (11 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 209-day growing season |
Apr 6 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 23 |
Nov 2 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 19 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 230-day growing season |
Mar 25 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 13 |
Nov 12 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 30 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Plainview Wtr Productn, Plainview), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Hale County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Hale County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Hale County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Hale County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 37% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Hale County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Hale County (since Jul 25, 2022). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Hale County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulia (32 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Wildorado (79 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Clovis (83 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Grapes 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.