Grant County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Grant County, NM was in moderate drought (D1) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 13% at severe drought (D2); week 148 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Grant County has had 106% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 136% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and today carries the week's highest rain chance at 92% (high 67°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Grant County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Santa Teresa is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 116 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 106% of normal
- Last 60 days 203% of normal
- Last 90 days 136% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms, high 67°, low 45°, 92% rain, wind 14–26 mph
- Monday Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 60°, low 31°, 26% rain, wind 5–24 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 64°, low 31°, 0% rain, wind 6–9 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 67°, low 40°, 1% rain, wind 7–12 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 67°, low 41°, 1% rain, wind 3–7 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 66°, low 41°, 14% rain, wind 6 mph
- Saturday Sunny, high 66°, low 39°, 14% rain, wind 7 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Flood Warning (National Weather Service) | Nov 1, 2026 | Dec 1, 2026 (30 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Grant County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Grant County
Forecast for the center point of Grant County.
- Flash Flood Warning
- Flood Advisory
- Flood Watch
- Wind Advisory
- Freeze on 2 nights
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms 67° 45° SSW 14–26 mph 92% rain
- Mon Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny 60° 31° W 5–24 mph 26% rain
- Tue Sunny 64° 31° ESE 6–9 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 67° 40° S 7–12 mph 1% rain
- Thu Sunny 67° 41° WNW 3–7 mph 1% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 66° 41° SSW 6 mph 14% rain
- Sat Sunny 66° 39° NW 7 mph 14% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No state restrictions
New Mexico Forestry Division (state forester) restrictions for non-municipal, non-federal, non-Tribal land in Grant County (source), as of Oct 6, 2026. County rules and federal-land rules are separate; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
- Flood Watch Severe
Flood Watch issued November 1 at 11:22AM MST until November 1 at 10:00PM MST by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM - Flash Flood Warning Severe
Flash Flood Warning issued November 1 at 1:58PM MST until November 1 at 8:00PM MST by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM - Wind Advisory Moderate
Wind Advisory issued November 1 at 9:21AM MST until November 1 at 8:00PM MST by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM - Flood Advisory Minor
Flood Advisory issued November 1 at 3:38PM MST until November 1 at 6:45PM MST by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM - Flood Advisory Minor
Flood Advisory issued November 1 at 4:11PM MST until November 1 at 7:15PM MST by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.82 in; same month last year 2.31 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Grant County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Cliff 11 Se weather station (10 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 157-day growing season |
May 9 1 year in 10 it's after May 24 |
Oct 15 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 3 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 177-day growing season |
Apr 28 1 year in 10 it's after May 11 |
Oct 25 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 9 |
White Signal weather station (12 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 185-day growing season |
Apr 23 1 year in 10 it's after May 10 |
Oct 26 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 13 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 211-day growing season |
Apr 6 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 29 |
Nov 4 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 19 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Cliff 11 Se, White Signal), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Grant County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Grant County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Grant County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Grant County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 13% of the county. 148 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Grant County?
No burn ban is listed for Grant County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Grant County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Santa Teresa (116 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026; Belen (167 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.