Grant County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Grant County, NM was in moderate drought (D1) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 13% at severe drought (D2); week 148 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Grant County has had 106% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 136% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and today carries the week's highest rain chance at 92% (high 67°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Grant County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Santa Teresa is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 116 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 106% of normal
- Last 60 days 203% of normal
- Last 90 days 136% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms, high 67°, low 45°, 92% rain, wind 14–26 mph
- Monday Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 60°, low 31°, 26% rain, wind 5–24 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 64°, low 31°, 0% rain, wind 6–9 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 67°, low 40°, 1% rain, wind 7–12 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 67°, low 41°, 1% rain, wind 3–7 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 66°, low 41°, 14% rain, wind 6 mph
- Saturday Sunny, high 66°, low 39°, 14% rain, wind 7 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Flood Warning (National Weather Service) | Nov 1, 2026 | Dec 1, 2026 (30 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Grant County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
Loading prices…
Loading drought…
Loading programs…
Loading weather & fire…
FSA grain loan rates (2026)
What FSA will lend on stored grain, per bushel. Lets you hold grain instead of selling at harvest.
| Crop | Grant County | National average |
|---|---|---|
| Corn | $2.74 /bu | $2.42 /bu |
| Grain sorghum | $4.86 /cwt ($2.72 /bu) |
$2.42 /bu |
| Soybeans | $6.47 /bu | $6.82 /bu |
| Hard red winter wheat | $3.58 /bu | $3.72 /bu |
County marketing-loan rates. Sorghum's county rate is set per 100 lb; the per-bushel figure uses 56 lb a bushel. Source: FSA 2026 corn/sorghum/soybean schedule, wheat schedule, national rates. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
FSA farm loan interest rates
| FSA direct loan | Rate |
|---|---|
| Farm Operating - Direct | 5.375% |
| Farm Operating - Microloan | 5.375% |
| Farm Ownership - Direct | 6.250% |
| Farm Ownership - Microloan | 6.250% |
| Farm Ownership - Direct, Joint Financing | 4.250% |
| Farm Ownership - Down Payment | 2.250% |
| Emergency Loan - Amount of Actual Loss | 3.750% |
Set nationally by FSA; the same in every county. Effective Oct 1, 2026. Source: FSA current loan interest rates. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Farm program payments by crop (ARC and PLC)
ARC pays when county crop revenue falls below its guarantee. PLC pays when the national price falls below the reference price. You picked one per crop when you enrolled.
2025 program year final payment rates FSA file of Sep 30, 2026
| Crop | Guarantee | Actual revenue | ARC payment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barley | $319.85 | $469.56 | $0.00 |
| Corn | $600.73 | $544.96 | $55.77 |
| Grain Sorghum | $239.64 | $244.42 | $0.00 |
| Oats | $165.65 | $232.88 | $0.00 |
| Wheat | $355.82 | $349.75 | $6.07 |
Show the math
| Crop | Benchmark yield × price | Benchmark revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Barley | 58.26 bushel/ac × $6.10 | $355.39 |
| Corn | 132.7 bushel/ac × $5.03 | $667.48 |
| Grain Sorghum | 50.24 bushel/ac × $5.30 | $266.27 |
| Oats | 47.93 bushel/ac × $3.84 | $184.05 |
| Wheat | 56.64 bushel/ac × $6.98 | $395.35 |
Dollars per base acre, before the 85% payment-acre factor and sequestration. Source: FSA ARC-CO 2025 county data.
PLC, 2026 FSA table of Oct 9, 2026
| Crop | Reference price | Season avg price | PLC payment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wheat /bushel | $6.35 | $6.30 projected | $0.05 projected |
| Barley /bushel | $5.58 | $5.70 projected | $0.00 projected |
| Oats /bushel | $3.05 | $3.35 projected | $0.00 projected |
| Corn /bushel | $4.42 | $4.70 projected | $0.00 projected |
| Grain Sorghum /bushel | $4.67 | $4.50 projected | $0.17 projected |
| Soybeans /bushel | $10.71 | $12.00 projected | $0.00 projected |
PLC rates are national (paid on the farm's PLC yield). Source: FSA 2026 PLC table. FSA decides who is paid.
FSA payments in Grant County
$5,956,963
342 payments dated Mar 18, 2025 to Oct 29, 2025 (FSA payment file 2025).
| Program | Year | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Livestock Forage Disaster Program (Cof) | 2025 | $1,906,734 |
| Non-Insured Assistance Program | 2024 | $1,748,834 |
| Emergency Livestock Relief (2023-24 drought) | 2023 | $1,179,896 |
| Emergency Livestock Relief (2023-24 drought) | 2024 | $1,074,777 |
| Emerg Assist Livestock Bees Fish (Elap) | 2024 | $30,995 |
| Emergency Commodity Assistance Program | 2024 | $15,727 |
County totals only: Cownty sums FSA's public payment file by county and never stores names or addresses. FSA files payments under its administrative county (Grant), which may differ from where the land is. Source: FSA payment file via the FOIA reading room.
Crop conditions (statewide)
New Mexico crop and pasture condition
New Mexico statewide, not just your county. From USDA's weekly Crop Progress report, week ending Oct 25, 2026.
| Condition | Poor or very poor | Fair | Good or excellent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pasture and Range | 52% | 33% | 15% -3 vs last week |
Progress
| New Mexico | This week | Last week | Normal (5-yr avg) |
|---|
Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress released Oct 26, 2026 (ESMIS), New Mexico rows. Week ending Oct 25, 2026. Fetched Oct 26, 2026.
Loading deadlines…
Loading land…
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Grant County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Grant County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Grant County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Grant County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 13% of the county. 148 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Grant County?
No burn ban is listed for Grant County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Grant County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Santa Teresa (116 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026; Belen (167 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 10, 2026: First half of property taxes due to the county treasurer; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.