El Paso County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of El Paso County, TX showed no drought; four weeks earlier 19% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 0%. Over 90 days rain is at 298% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 305% (well above normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain) and the NWS forecast peaks at a 46% rain chance on today (high 80°). El Paso County is not on FSA's 2026 LFP list yet, and Santa Teresa is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 26 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 305% of normal
- Last 60 days 373% of normal
- Last 90 days 298% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 80°, low 59°, 46% rain, wind 7–17 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 70°, low 48°, 7% rain, wind 3–22 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 68°, low 48°, 0% rain, wind 1–6 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 73°, low 49°, 0% rain, wind 2–7 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 71°, low 49°, 0% rain, wind 2–6 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 70°, low 49°, 12% rain, wind 3–6 mph
- Saturday Sunny, high 69°, low 49°, 10% rain, wind 3–9 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in El Paso County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
El Paso County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for El Paso County
Forecast for the center point of El Paso County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 80° 59° SW 7–17 mph 46% rain
- Mon Sunny 70° 48° W 3–22 mph 7% rain
- Tue Sunny 68° 48° NNW 1–6 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 73° 49° SSW 2–7 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 71° 49° N 2–6 mph 0% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 70° 49° E 3–6 mph 12% rain
- Sat Sunny 69° 49° NE 3–9 mph 10% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Sep 2, 2025.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 1.48 in; same month last year 2.41 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest El Paso County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
El Paso Intl Ap weather station (8 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 261-day growing season |
Mar 2 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 19 |
Nov 20 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 6 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 286-day growing season |
Feb 16 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 7 |
Dec 1 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 15 |
El Paso 32 Ene weather station (17 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 230-day growing season |
Mar 24 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 10 |
Nov 11 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 23 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 264-day growing season |
Mar 4 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 29 |
Nov 25 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 4 |
short record Based on only 13 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (El Paso Intl Ap, El Paso 32 Ene), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is El Paso County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Not on FSA's 2026 LFP county list as of Oct 29, 2026. FSA updates the list as drought changes.
What is the drought level in El Paso County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of El Paso County was in no drought, and the worst part was no drought on 0% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in El Paso County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for El Paso County (since Sep 2, 2025). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near El Paso County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Santa Teresa (26 mi), last report Oct 30, 2026; Roswell (151 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.