Denton County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Denton County, TX was abnormally dry (D0) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 40% at moderate drought (D1); 40% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, down from 100% four weeks earlier. Denton County has had 25% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 51% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and Monday carries the week's highest rain chance at 82% (high 84°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Denton County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Ada, 111 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 25% of normal
- Last 60 days 67% of normal
- Last 90 days 51% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 79°, low 66°, 3% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 84°, low 61°, 82% rain, wind 10–20 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 73°, low 51°, 5% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 74°, low 51°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 75°, low 50°, 3% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 71°, low 49°, 4% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 71°, low 49°, 19% rain, wind 5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Denton County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Denton County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
Loading prices…
Loading drought…
Loading programs…
Weather for Denton County
Forecast for the center point of Denton County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 79° 66° SE 5–10 mph 3% rain
- Mon Partly Sunny 84° 61° S 10–20 mph 82% rain
- Tue Sunny 73° 51° WNW 5–15 mph 5% rain
- Wed Sunny 74° 51° W 0–5 mph 1% rain
- Thu Sunny 75° 50° WSW 5–10 mph 3% rain
- Fri Sunny 71° 49° N 0–10 mph 4% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 71° 49° N 5 mph 19% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.10 in; same month last year 4.08 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Denton County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Denton 2 Se weather station (1 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 251-day growing season |
Mar 13 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 31 |
Nov 20 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 3 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 276-day growing season |
Mar 1 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 18 |
Dec 1 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 11 |
Denton Muni Ap weather station (4 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 227-day growing season |
Mar 24 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 17 |
Nov 7 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 22 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 256-day growing season |
Mar 9 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 3 |
Nov 20 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 1 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Denton 2 Se, Denton Muni Ap), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
Loading money…
Loading deadlines…
Loading land…
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Denton County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Denton County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Denton County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Denton County was in abnormally dry (D0), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 40% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Denton County?
No burn ban is listed for Denton County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Denton County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Ada (111 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Apache (137 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; McAlester (142 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.