Collin County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Collin County, TX was in moderate drought (D1), with 27% at severe drought (D2); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 10 straight weeks. Over 90 days rain is at 48% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 8% (well below normal); the NWS forecast peaks at a 94% rain chance on today (high 86°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 8–12 leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Collin County with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Ada, 109 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 8% of normal
- Last 60 days 61% of normal
- Last 90 days 48% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 8–12) Leans drier than normal (33% chance of below-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 10–16) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 86°, low 60°, 94% rain, wind 10–20 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 72°, low 49°, 6% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 72°, low 50°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 76°, low 50°, 1% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 71°, low 46°, 1% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 67°, low 45°, 6% rain, wind 5 mph
- Sunday Sunny, high 68°, low 43°, 2% rain, wind 0–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Collin County is Dec 1, 2026, 29 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Collin County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Collin County grew about 2,240 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 86% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 2,608 pounds per acre. That was the 8th lowest of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2007 at 3,135 pounds per acre; worst: 1986 at 1,535.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Collin County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Collin County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Ada 109 mi | Oct 28 | $415 |
| McAlester 128 mi | Oct 27 | $369 |
| Apache 155 mi | Oct 29 | $429 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Collin County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Collin County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Collin County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Collin County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 27% of the county. 10 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Collin County?
No burn ban is listed for Collin County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Collin County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Ada (109 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; McAlester (128 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Apache (155 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.