Dallas County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Dallas County, TX in moderate drought (D1); 100% of the county is in moderate drought (D1) or worse, the same as four weeks earlier. Over 90 days rain is at 44% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 25% (well below normal); the NWS forecast peaks at a 94% rain chance on Monday (high 85°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Dallas County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and Ada is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 138 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 25% of normal
- Last 60 days 56% of normal
- Last 90 days 44% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 78°, low 67°, 3% rain, wind 5 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 85°, low 65°, 94% rain, wind 5–20 mph
- Tuesday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny, high 74°, low 54°, 22% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 74°, low 52°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 76°, low 51°, 4% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 71°, low 50°, 5% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 71°, low 51°, 20% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Dallas County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Dallas County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Ada 138 mi | Oct 28 | $415 |
| McAlester 160 mi | Oct 27 | $369 |
| Apache 173 mi | Oct 29 | $429 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Dallas County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Dallas County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Dallas County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Dallas County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was moderate drought (D1) on 100% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Dallas County?
No burn ban is listed for Dallas County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Dallas County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Ada (138 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; McAlester (160 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Apache (173 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.