Crosby County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Crosby County, TX was in severe drought (D2), with 3% at extreme drought (D3); week 13 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Over 90 days rain is at 120% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 298% (well above normal); the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and the best rain chance this week is 39% on today (high 67°). Crosby County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Tulia, 69 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 298% of normal
- Last 60 days 172% of normal
- Last 90 days 120% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 67°, low 61°, 39% rain, wind 15 mph
- Monday Mostly Sunny, high 76°, low 51°, 5% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 65°, low 46°, 0% rain, wind 5–20 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 68°, low 48°, 0% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 65°, low 42°, 0% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 62°, low 44°, 8% rain, wind 5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 63°, low 45°, 13% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exceptional drought (D4) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 6, 2026 | Nov 5, 2026 (4 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Crosby County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Crosby County
Forecast for the center point of Crosby County.
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Mostly Cloudy 67° 61° S 15 mph 39% rain
- Mon Mostly Sunny 76° 51° SW 15–25 mph 5% rain
- Tue Sunny 65° 46° NNW 5–20 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 68° 48° WSW 5–10 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 65° 42° NNW 5–15 mph 0% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 62° 44° W 5 mph 8% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 63° 45° NW 5–10 mph 13% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Jan 17, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 2.60 in; same month last year 1.12 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Crosby County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Crosbyton weather station (4 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 213-day growing season |
Apr 5 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 22 |
Nov 5 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 20 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 234-day growing season |
Mar 22 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 11 |
Nov 15 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 28 |
White River Reservoir weather station (16 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 222-day growing season |
Mar 31 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 18 |
Nov 8 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 26 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 247-day growing season |
Mar 13 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 4 |
Nov 16 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 2 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Crosbyton, White River Reservoir), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Crosby County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Crosby County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Crosby County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Crosby County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 3% of the county. 13 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Crosby County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Crosby County (since Jan 17, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Crosby County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulia (69 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Wildorado (119 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Clovis (123 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.