Motley County rain, outlook and forecast
On the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, most of Motley County, TX was in severe drought (D2), with 28% at extreme drought (D3), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 43 weeks running. Rain has run 331% of normal over the last 30 days (well above normal) and 109% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; the NWS forecast peaks at a 21% rain chance on today (high 70°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Motley County with up to 5 monthly payments, and Tulia is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 65 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 331% of normal
- Last 60 days 168% of normal
- Last 90 days 109% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy, high 70°, low 64°, 21% rain, wind 10–15 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 80°, low 54°, 9% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 67°, low 48°, 1% rain, wind 5–20 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 71°, low 49°, 3% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 68°, low 45°, 2% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 67°, low 49°, 9% rain, wind 5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 68°, low 48°, 21% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Motley County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Motley County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Tulia 65 mi | Oct 29 | $386 |
| Wildorado 109 mi | Oct 27 | $409 |
| Clovis 141 mi | Oct 28 | $394 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Motley County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Motley County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Motley County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Motley County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 28% of the county. 43 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Motley County?
No burn ban is listed for Motley County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Motley County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulia (65 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Wildorado (109 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Clovis (141 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.