Cochran County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Cochran County, TX showed no drought on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; four weeks earlier 100% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 0%. Cochran County has had 155% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 178% over 90 days, so the past month has been drier than the season so far; the best rain chance this week is 35% on today (high 69°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Cochran County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 4 monthly payments, and the nearest USDA-reported sale barn is Clovis, 59 miles away.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 155% of normal
- Last 60 days 258% of normal
- Last 90 days 178% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Cloudy, high 69°, low 59°, 35% rain, wind 15–20 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 72°, low 46°, 2% rain, wind 10–25 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 64°, low 42°, 0% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 68°, low 44°, 0% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 64°, low 39°, 0% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 62°, low 42°, 12% rain, wind 5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny, high 63°, low 41°, 14% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Cochran County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Cochran County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Cochran County
Forecast for the center point of Cochran County.
- Windy on 1 day
- Today Mostly Cloudy 69° 59° S 15–20 mph 35% rain
- Mon Sunny 72° 46° WSW 10–25 mph 2% rain
- Tue Sunny 64° 42° NNW 0–15 mph 0% rain
- Wed Sunny 68° 44° SSW 5–15 mph 0% rain
- Thu Sunny 64° 39° NNW 0–10 mph 0% rain
- Fri Sunny 62° 42° SW 5 mph 12% rain
- Sat Mostly Sunny 63° 41° NW 5–10 mph 14% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Jul 25, 2022.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 2.33 in; same month last year 1.25 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (83 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Cochran County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Morton weather station (9 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 199-day growing season |
Apr 11 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 26 |
Oct 31 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 16 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 220-day growing season |
Mar 31 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 17 |
Nov 7 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 24 |
Muleshoe Ntl Wr weather station (24 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 177-day growing season |
Apr 25 1 year in 10 it's after May 6 |
Oct 19 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 6 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 195-day growing season |
Apr 15 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 29 |
Oct 28 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 15 |
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Morton, Muleshoe Ntl Wr), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Cochran County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Cochran County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Cochran County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Cochran County was in no drought, and the worst part was no drought on 0% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Cochran County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Cochran County (since Jul 25, 2022). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Cochran County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Clovis (59 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Tulia (87 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Roswell (98 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.