Bailey County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Bailey County, TX showed no drought; four weeks earlier 100% of the county was in moderate drought (D1) or worse, now 0%. Over 90 days rain is at 134% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 94% (near normal); the NWS forecast peaks at a 48% rain chance on today (high 71°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Bailey County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Clovis is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 32 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 94% of normal
- Last 60 days 183% of normal
- Last 90 days 134% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Areas Of Fog then Mostly Cloudy, high 71°, low 58°, 48% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 70°, low 45°, 3% rain, wind 15–30 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 65°, low 41°, 0% rain, wind 0–20 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 69°, low 42°, 4% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 66°, low 39°, 1% rain, wind 0–15 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 66°, low 43°, 10% rain, wind 5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 65°, low 41°, 26% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Bailey County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Bailey County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Clovis 32 mi | Oct 28 | $394 |
| Tulia 68 mi | Oct 29 | $386 |
| Wildorado 88 mi | Oct 27 | $409 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Bailey County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Bailey County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Bailey County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Bailey County was in no drought, and the worst part was no drought on 0% of the county. 0 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Bailey County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Bailey County (since Jul 25, 2022). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Bailey County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Clovis (32 mi), last report Oct 28, 2026; Tulia (68 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Wildorado (88 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.