Bell County rain, outlook and forecast
As of the Oct 27 Drought Monitor, most of Bell County, TX was in severe drought (D2), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 8 weeks running. Over 90 days rain is at 40% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 30% (well below normal); the NWS forecast peaks at a 83% rain chance on Monday (high 86°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain. Bell County is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 3 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 68 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 30% of normal
- Last 60 days 52% of normal
- Last 90 days 40% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 86°, low 65°, 4% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 86°, low 65°, 83% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Tuesday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Sunny, high 78°, low 53°, 51% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 76°, low 50°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny, high 79°, low 51°, 15% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 75°, low 50°, 5% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Saturday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 76°, low 52°, 17% rain, wind 5–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Bell County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Bell County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Bell County
Forecast for the center point of Bell County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 86° 65° ESE 0–5 mph 4% rain
- Mon Partly Sunny 86° 65° S 5–15 mph 83% rain
- Tue Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Sunny 78° 53° W 5–15 mph 51% rain
- Wed Sunny 76° 50° NNW 0–5 mph 1% rain
- Thu Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny 79° 51° SSW 0–5 mph 15% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 75° 50° N 0–10 mph 5% rain
- Sat Slight Chance Rain Showers 76° 52° NW 5–10 mph 17% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
No burn ban
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 1, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 1, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.20 in; same month last year 1.58 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Oct 30, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (92 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 1, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 1, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Bell County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Stillhouse Hollow Dam weather station (3 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 251-day growing season |
Mar 14 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 4 |
Nov 20 1 year in 10 it's before Oct 29 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 277-day growing season |
Mar 1 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 21 |
Dec 1 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 10 |
Killeen weather station (13 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 247-day growing season |
Mar 14 1 year in 10 it's after Apr 4 |
Nov 17 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 1 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 271-day growing season |
Mar 2 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 22 |
Nov 30 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 8 |
short record Based on only 13 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Stillhouse Hollow Dam, Killeen), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Bell County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Bell County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 3 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Bell County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Bell County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 73% of the county. 8 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Bell County?
No burn ban is listed for Bell County. Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Bell County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (68 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026; San Angelo (178 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.