Falls County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Falls County, TX in severe drought (D2), with 21% at extreme drought (D3), and D2-or-worse drought has held there 8 weeks running. Rain has run 11% of normal over the last 30 days (well below normal) and 25% over 90 days; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 6–10 leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain) and the best rain chance this week is 79% on Monday (high 88°). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Falls County with up to 4 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 74 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 11% of normal
- Last 60 days 26% of normal
- Last 90 days 25% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 6–10) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 8–14) Leans wetter than normal (33% chance of above-normal rain)
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Oct 31, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 87°, low 65°, 3% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 88°, low 66°, 79% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms Likely, high 80°, low 52°, 59% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 77°, low 49°, 1% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny, high 79°, low 50°, 18% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 76°, low 48°, 4% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 76°, low 50°, 18% rain, wind 0–5 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows 1 open
| What happened | Started | Tell FSA early by | FSA deadline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Extreme drought (D3) reached (U.S. Drought Monitor) | Oct 13, 2026 | Nov 12, 2026 (11 days left) | Mar 1, 2027 |
If this cost you livestock, extra feed or hauled water, call your county FSA office now, while it's fresh. The 30-day date is a suggestion from Cownty; FSA's deadline for the notice of loss and application is the March 1 date. Log it in your Drought Ledger · Find your FSA office and phone
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Falls County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
5-wt steers, nearest barns
Steers 500–599 lb, $/cwt, weekly average.
| Barn | Last sale | 5-wt steers |
|---|---|---|
| Giddings 74 mi | Oct 26 | $359 |
How to read this
Each line is one barn's head-weighted average for 5-weight steers (500–599 lb) in that week; gaps are weeks with no sale or no lots that size. Past sales, not a bid.
Dollars per hundredweight ($/cwt, per 100 lb), calculated from USDA AMS Market News sale reports (Medium & Large 1 and 1-2). Not a USDA-published average. ≈ $/head = $/cwt × the middle of the weight class ÷ 100.
Guide: How to read a USDA sale barn report
All weights at the 1 nearest barns
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Falls County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Falls County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 4 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Falls County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Falls County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 21% of the county. 8 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Falls County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Falls County (since Aug 10, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Falls County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (74 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.