Atascosa County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Atascosa County, TX was in severe drought (D2) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map; week 10 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Atascosa County has had 63% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 68% over 90 days; the NWS forecast peaks at a 60% rain chance on Tuesday (high 78°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 8–12 leans toward near-normal rain. FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Atascosa County with up to 5 monthly payments, and Giddings is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 132 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 63% of normal
- Last 60 days 66% of normal
- Last 90 days 68% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 8–12) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 10–16) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 2, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 86°, low 69°, 26% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Tuesday Showers And Thunderstorms Likely then Partly Sunny, high 78°, low 54°, 60% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 76°, low 56°, 0% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Thursday Partly Sunny, high 78°, low 60°, 25% rain, wind 0–5 mph
- Friday Mostly Sunny, high 74°, low 55°, 17% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 68°, low 52°, 39% rain, wind 0–10 mph
- Sunday Mostly Sunny, high 68°, low 49°, 12% rain, wind 0–10 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Atascosa County is Dec 1, 2026, 29 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Atascosa County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Atascosa County grew about 1,854 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 88% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 2,102 pounds per acre. That was the 16th lowest of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2007 at 3,348 pounds per acre; worst: 1986 at 401.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Atascosa County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Atascosa County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Weather for Atascosa County
Forecast for the center point of Atascosa County.
- Today Mostly Sunny 86° 69° SSE 0–10 mph 26% rain
- Tue Showers And Thunderstorms Likely then Partly Sunny 78° 54° N 0–10 mph 60% rain
- Wed Sunny 76° 56° NE 0–5 mph 0% rain
- Thu Partly Sunny 78° 60° ESE 0–5 mph 25% rain
- Fri Mostly Sunny 74° 55° NNE 0–10 mph 17% rain
- Sat Chance Rain Showers 68° 52° NNE 0–10 mph 39% rain
- Sun Mostly Sunny 68° 49° N 0–10 mph 12% rain
Forecast from the National Weather Service, updated Nov 2, 2026. Wind arrows point where the wind is going; the letters say where it comes from. Windy = 25 mph or more; freeze = a low of 32°F or less. Open the full forecast.
Burn ban
Burn ban ON
In effect since Aug 25, 2026.
Texas A&M Forest Service map (source), as of Nov 2, 2026. County judges set bans; check with the county before burning. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Weather warnings right now
None right now
National Weather Service active alerts for this county, as of Nov 2, 2026 (source). Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Rainfall vs normal
How to read this
Bars are the rain that fell each month; the dashed line is a normal month (1991-2020 average). Bars below the line = drier than normal.
County-average precipitation, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026. Normal = NCEI's own 1991-2020 average for each month (Sep 2026 normal 3.46 in; same month last year 1.79 in). NCEI posts each month around the 8th of the next and may revise recent months. Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Wildfires
No current fire perimeter in the county
No current perimeter within 100 mi of the county center (75 mapped nationally).
Interagency fire outlines. Small or brand-new fires are often not mapped yet; call 911 for a fire you can see. Layer updated Nov 2, 2026. Source: National Interagency Fire Center. Fetched Nov 2, 2026.
Frost dates
Frost and freeze dates
30-year averages (1991–2020) from the weather stations nearest Atascosa County. Frost = 32°F; hard freeze = 28°F.
Pleasanton weather station (6 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 274-day growing season |
Feb 27 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 20 |
Nov 28 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 7 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 308-day growing season |
Feb 10 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 8 |
Dec 10 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 17 |
Poteet weather station (10 mi away)
| Typical last spring frost | Typical first fall frost | |
|---|---|---|
| Frost (32°F) 281-day growing season |
Feb 22 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 18 |
Dec 1 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 8 |
| Hard freeze (28°F) 317-day growing season |
Feb 4 1 year in 10 it's after Mar 6 |
Dec 17 1 year in 10 it's before Nov 22 |
short record Based on only 19 years of records here (30 is normal), so treat it as rougher.
Source: NOAA U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Pleasanton, Poteet), NOAA files as of Jun 27, 2023. Fetched Oct 18, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Atascosa County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Atascosa County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Atascosa County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Atascosa County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 100% of the county. 10 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Atascosa County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Atascosa County (since Aug 25, 2026). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Atascosa County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Giddings (132 mi), last report Oct 26, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.