Armstrong County rain, outlook and forecast
The Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map shows most of Armstrong County, TX in severe drought (D2), with 41% at extreme drought (D3); week 35 in a row with some severe drought (D2) or worse. Armstrong County has had 142% of its normal rain in the past 30 days and 119% over 90 days, so the past month has been wetter than the season so far; the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans toward near-normal rain and today carries the week's highest rain chance at 72% (high 67°). Armstrong County (county seat: Claude) is on FSA's 2026 LFP list with up to 5 monthly payments, and Tulia is the closest USDA-reported sale barn at 39 miles.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 142% of normal
- Last 60 days 186% of normal
- Last 90 days 119% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans toward near-normal rain
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Cloudy, high 67°, low 61°, 72% rain, wind 15–20 mph
- Monday Sunny, high 72°, low 49°, 8% rain, wind 15–25 mph
- Tuesday Sunny, high 63°, low 43°, 0% rain, wind 5–25 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 67°, low 45°, 5% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Thursday Sunny, high 62°, low 40°, 2% rain, wind 5–15 mph
- Friday Sunny, high 62°, low 43°, 9% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Saturday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 63°, low 43°, 18% rain, wind 10–15 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
PRF pasture insurance: sign up by Dec 1, 2026
The 2027 Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) insurance sales closing date for Armstrong County is Dec 1, 2026, 30 days from today. PRF (Rainfall Index) pays on a rainfall index for your grid, not on your own rain gauge. You buy it through a crop insurance agent.
How PRF works · PRF 2027 sign-up · Find your grid on RMA's PRF tool
Date from USDA RMA's actuarial data, read Aug 28, 2026 · RMA dates map. Your agent confirms the date for your policy.
Armstrong County grass production
In 2025, grassland and pasture in Armstrong County grew about 1,554 pounds per acre of grass and forbs, 98% of the county's 1991-2020 normal of 1,579 pounds per acre. That was the 18th best of 40 years on record (1986-2025). Best year: 2007 at 2,171 pounds per acre; worst: 2011 at 742.
Pounds per acre of new grass and forbs each year on rangeland and pasture, from the Rangeland Analysis Platform (satellite-based estimates). See every year on the Land tab.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Armstrong County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Armstrong County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Drought, past 12 months
93% of the county in severe drought or worse, 35 weeks running.
How to read this
Each band is how much of the county was in that drought level that week. Darker = worse. D2 (severe) and darker can trigger USDA drought pay.
Right now: 93% of the county is in severe drought or worse; some of it has been for 35 weeks running. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026.
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Printable county brief (PDF) · Everything on one page · Hay prices in Texas · County seat: Claude
Common questions and nearby counties
Is Armstrong County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Armstrong County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Armstrong County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Armstrong County was in severe drought (D2), and the worst part was extreme drought (D3) on 41% of the county. 35 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Armstrong County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Armstrong County (since Aug 14, 2023). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Armstrong County?
The nearest USDA-reported sale barns: Tulia (39 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026; Wildorado (46 mi), last report Oct 27, 2026; Dalhart (100 mi), last report Oct 29, 2026.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.