Zapata County rain, outlook and forecast
Most of Zapata County, TX was in moderate drought (D1) on the Oct 27 U.S. Drought Monitor map, with 10% at severe drought (D2); some part has been in severe drought (D2) or worse for 9 straight weeks. Over 90 days rain is at 74% of normal, and the last 30 days came in at 125% (above normal); Saturday carries the week's highest rain chance at 28% (high 80°) and the 6-10 day outlook for Nov 7–11 leans wetter than normal (40% chance of above-normal rain). FSA's 2026 LFP list includes Zapata County with up to 5 monthly payments.
Rain vs normal
- Last 30 days 125% of normal
- Last 60 days 98% of normal
- Last 90 days 74% of normal
NOAA river forecast center rain (radar plus gauges) at the county center, Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Rain outlook
- 6-10 day outlook (Nov 7–11) Leans wetter than normal (40% chance of above-normal rain)
- 8-14 day outlook (Nov 9–15) Leans toward near-normal rain
NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation outlook, issued Nov 1, 2026. Source.
Next 7 days
- Today Mostly Sunny, high 90°, low 70°, 1% rain, wind 2–6 mph
- Monday Partly Sunny, high 92°, low 72°, 3% rain, wind 5–10 mph
- Tuesday Partly Sunny, high 85°, low 63°, 5% rain, wind 0–12 mph
- Wednesday Sunny, high 83°, low 63°, 0% rain, wind 2 mph
- Thursday Mostly Sunny, high 86°, low 65°, 19% rain, wind 0–3 mph
- Friday Slight Chance Rain Showers, high 82°, low 63°, 24% rain, wind 0–6 mph
- Saturday Chance Rain Showers, high 80°, low 60°, 28% rain, wind 0–6 mph
National Weather Service forecast for the county center, updated Nov 1, 2026. Wind, warnings and burn bans.
Open loss windows
No open loss windows in Zapata County right now. A 30-day window opens when the county first hits severe drought (D2), jumps to D3 or D4, or after a blizzard, extreme heat or cold, flood or ice warning, a wildfire, or a USDA disaster designation. Keep a Drought Ledger.
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Cownty sends nothing to FSA.
Drought-sale tax flag IRS list
Zapata County is on IRS Notice 2026-54 (severe or worse drought, Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 31, 2026).
Why it matters: if you sold breeding, dairy or draft livestock because of drought, the tax code may let you put off the gain (more time to buy replacement animals, or report the extra-sale income a year later). Your tax preparer decides whether either applies.
Work out your numbers and print a page for your preparer
Information only; not financial, tax or legal advice. Ask your tax preparer. FSA decides program eligibility. IRS Notice 2026-54 (PDF)
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Drought, past 12 months
10% of the county in severe drought or worse, 9 weeks running.
How to read this
Each band is how much of the county was in that drought level that week. Darker = worse. D2 (severe) and darker can trigger USDA drought pay.
Right now: 10% of the county is in severe drought or worse; some of it has been for 9 weeks running. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, map of Oct 27, 2026.
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Common questions and nearby counties
Is Zapata County eligible for LFP in 2026?
Yes. Zapata County is on FSA's 2026 Livestock Forage Disaster Program county list, with up to 5 monthly payments for some pasture types. FSA decides each operation's eligibility; apply at your county FSA office by March 1 after the loss year.
What is the drought level in Zapata County this week?
On the Drought Monitor map of Oct 27, 2026, most of Zapata County was in moderate drought (D1), and the worst part was severe drought (D2) on 10% of the county. 9 straight weeks with some severe drought (D2) or worse.
Is there a burn ban in Zapata County?
Yes, a burn ban is in effect for Zapata County (since Sep 13, 2011). Check with the county before burning.
What sale barns are near Zapata County?
No USDA-reported sale barn within 200 miles.
Source: USDA AMS Market News reports
What are the upcoming FSA and farm deadlines?
Next: Nov 13, 2026: Apply for NRCS conservation cost-share (EQIP, CSP, ACEP) to be considered for 2027 money; Nov 20, 2026: Micro Farm 2027: last day to buy crop insurance. FSA program dates not posted officially are marked "confirm at source" on the calendar.
Source: official agency pages (see Calendar)
Information only; not financial or legal advice. FSA decides eligibility. Always check the linked official source.